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We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

Traffic signal controllers play an essential role in today's traffic system. However, the majority of them currently is not sufficiently flexible or adaptive to generate optimal traffic schedules. In this paper we present an approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Shengchao Yan , Jingwei Zhang , Daniel Büscher , Wolfram Burgard

Factor model is an appealing and effective analytic tool for high-dimensional time series, with a wide range of applications in economics, finance and statistics. This paper develops two criteria for the determination of the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-09 Yuefeng Han , Rong Chen , Cun-Hui Zhang

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa

False and nuisance alarms in industrial fault detection systems are often triggered by uncertainty, causing normal process variable fluctuations to be erroneously identified as faults. This paper introduces a novel encoder-based residual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-27 Vahid MohammadZadeh Eivaghi , Mahdi Aliyari Shoorehdeli

Generalist imitation learning policies trained on large datasets show great promise for solving diverse manipulation tasks. However, to ensure generalization to different conditions, policies need to be trained with data collected across a…

The autoencoder model typically uses an encoder to map data to a lower dimensional latent space and a decoder to reconstruct it. However, relying on an encoder for inversion can lead to suboptimal representations, particularly limiting in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Kyriakos Flouris , Anna Volokitin , Gustav Bredell , Ender Konukoglu

An essential part of building a data-driven organization is the ability to handle and process continuous streams of data to discover actionable insights. The explosive growth of interconnected devices and the social Web has led to a large…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine

In the context of evolving supply chain management, the significance of efficient inventory management has grown substantially for businesses. However, conventional manual and experience-based approaches often struggle to meet the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Chunan Tong

Order placement tactics play a crucial role in high-frequency trading algorithms and their design is based on understanding the dynamics of the order book. Using high quality high-frequency data and a set of microstructural features, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-30 Timothée Fabre , Vincent Ragel

We study the dynamics of order flows around large intraday price changes using ultra-high-frequency data from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. We find a significant reversal of price for both intraday price decreases and increases with a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-03 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei Chen , Janos Kertesz

The rapid growth of digital data has heightened the demand for efficient lossless compression methods. However, existing algorithms exhibit trade-offs: some achieve high compression ratios, others excel in encoding or decoding speed, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Md. Atiqur Rahman , MM Fazle Rabbi

Some of the most performant reinforcement learning algorithms today can be prohibitively expensive as they use test-time scaling methods such as sampling multiple action candidates and selecting the best one. In this work, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Perry Dong , Alexander Swerdlow , Dorsa Sadigh , Chelsea Finn

There is an emerging need for efficient solutions to stochastic AC Optimal Power Flow ({AC-}OPF) to ensure optimal and reliable grid operations in the presence of increasing demand and generation uncertainty. This paper presents a highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-11 Ilyes Mezghani , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

Alpha factor mining aims to discover investment signals from the historical financial market data, which can be used to predict asset returns and gain excess profits. Powerful deep learning methods for alpha factor mining lack…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-18 Junjie Zhao , Chengxi Zhang , Min Qin , Peng Yang

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

Deep Reinforcement learning is a branch of unsupervised learning in which an agent learns to act based on environment state in order to maximize its total reward. Deep reinforcement learning provides good opportunity to model the complexity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-05 Zhaolu Dong , Shan Huang , Simiao Ma , Yining Qian

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Shima Nabiee , Nader Bagherzadeh