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Related papers: AutoGluon-TimeSeries: AutoML for Probabilistic Tim…

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Automated Machine Learning with ensembling (or AutoML with ensembling) seeks to automatically build ensembles of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to achieve qualitative predictions. Ensemble of DNNs are well known to avoid over-fitting but they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Pierrick Pochelu , Serge G. Petiton , Bruno Conche

This paper introduces an open-source and reproducible implementation of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) Networks for time series forecasting. We evaluated LSTM and GRU networks because of their performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Pedro Branez , Alejandro Bueno , Rodrigo Heredia , Mateo Lopez-Ledezma

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Probabilistic forecasting of time series is an important matter in many applications and research fields. In order to draw conclusions from a probabilistic forecast, we must ensure that the model class used to approximate the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Philipp F. M. Baumann , Thomas Kneib , Torsten Hothorn

Over the past years, the industrial sector has seen many innovations brought about by automation. Inherent in this automation is the installation of sensor networks for status monitoring and data collection. One of the major challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Paulito Palmes , Joern Ploennigs , Niall Brady

Probabilistic time-series models become popular in the forecasting field as they help to make optimal decisions under uncertainty. Despite the growing interest, a lack of thorough analysis hinders choosing what is worth applying for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Seungjae Jung , Kyung-Min Kim , Hanock Kwak , Young-Jin Park

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting has gained attention for its ability to provide nonlinear approximation and valuable uncertainty quantification for decision-making. However, existing models often oversimplify the problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Seongjin Choi , Lijun Sun

Recent advancements in time series forecasting have explored augmenting models with text or vision modalities to improve accuracy. While text provides contextual understanding, it often lacks fine-grained temporal details. Conversely,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Siru Zhong , Weilin Ruan , Ming Jin , Huan Li , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

This paper proposes methods of predicting dynamic time series (including non-stationary ones) based on a linguistic approach, namely, the study of occurrences and repetition of so-called N-grams. This approach is used in computational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Dmytro Lande , Volodymyr Yuzefovych , Yevheniia Tsybulska

Clinical prognostic models derived from largescale healthcare data can inform critical diagnostic and therapeutic decisions. To enable off-theshelf usage of machine learning (ML) in prognostic research, we developed AUTOPROGNOSIS: a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Agentic reinforcement learning has advanced large language models (LLMs) to reason through long chain-of-thought trajectories while interleaving external tool use. Existing approaches assume a fixed inventory of tools, limiting LLM agents'…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jiaru Zou , Ling Yang , Yunzhe Qi , Sirui Chen , Mengting Ai , Ke Shen , Jingrui He , Mengdi Wang

The present study examines the effectiveness of applying Artificial Intelligence methods in an automotive production environment to predict unknown lead times in a non-cycle-controlled production area. Data structures are analyzed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Cornelius Hake , Jonas Weigele , Frederik Reichert , Christian Friedrich

Large language models (LLMs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy on complex reasoning tasks by generating multiple chain-of-thought (CoT) traces, but using a fixed token budget per query leads to over-computation on easy inputs and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Katrina Brown , Aneesh Muppidi , Rana Shahout

Data-driven engineering refers to systematic data collection and processing using machine learning to improve engineering systems. Currently, the implementation of data-driven engineering relies on fundamental data science and software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Simon Raedler , Matthias Rupp , Eugen Rigger , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma

The learning process of classical machine learning algorithms is tuned by hyperparameters that need to be customized to best learn and generalize from an input dataset. In recent years, Quantum Machine Learning (QML) has been gaining…

Recently, Deep Neural Network (DNN) algorithms have been explored for predicting trends in time series data. In many real world applications, time series data are captured from dynamic systems. DNN models must provide stable performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-24 Kouame Hermann Kouassi , Deshendran Moodley

In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

We present a novel prompt design for Large Language Models (LLMs) tailored to Asynchronous Time Series. Unlike regular time series, which assume values at evenly spaced time points, asynchronous time series consist of timestamped events…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Shubham Gupta , Thibaut Durand , Graham Taylor , Lilian W. Białokozowicz

Time series anomaly detection is crucial for industrial monitoring services that handle a large volume of data, aiming to ensure reliability and optimize system performance. Existing methods often require extensive labeled resources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Manqing Dong , Zhanxiang Zhao , Yitong Geng , Wentao Li , Wei Wang , Huai Jiang

While LLMs have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series forecasting, their practical deployment remains constrained by excessive computational demands and memory footprints. Existing LLM-based approaches typically suffer from three…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Haoran Fan , Bin Li , Yixuan Weng , Shoujun Zhou