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Related papers: AutoGluon-TimeSeries: AutoML for Probabilistic Tim…

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A major trend in academia and data science is the rapid adoption of Bayesian statistics for data analysis and modeling, leading to the development of probabilistic programming languages (PPL). A PPL provides a framework that allows users to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-15 James. W. Nightingale , Richard G. Hayes , Matthew Griffiths

Medical time-series data captures the dynamic progression of patient conditions, playing a vital role in modern clinical decision support systems. However, real-world clinical data is highly heterogeneous and inconsistently formatted.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Zhongheng Jiang , Yuechao Zhao , Donglin Xie , Chenxi Sun , Rongchen Lu , Silu Luo , Zisheng Liang , Shenda Hong

In many areas of decision-making, forecasting is an essential pillar. Consequently, many different forecasting methods have been proposed. From our experience, recently presented forecasting methods are computationally intensive, poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 André Bauer , Mark Leznik , Michael Stenger , Robert Leppich , Nikolas Herbst , Samuel Kounev , Ian Foster

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in decision-making across many real-world applications. Unlike data in vision and language domains, time series data is inherently tied to the evolution of underlying processes and can only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Suhan Guo , Bingxu Wang , Shaodan Zhang , Furao Shen

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

The performance of large language models (LLMs) depends on how they are prompted, with choices spanning both the high-level prompting pattern (e.g., Zero-Shot, CoT, ReAct, ReWOO) and the specific prompt content (instructions and few-shot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Claudio Spiess , Mandana Vaziri , Louis Mandel , Martin Hirzel

Multi-modal large language models (MLLMs) have enabled numerous advances in understanding and reasoning in domains like vision, but we have not yet seen this broad success for time-series. Although prior works on time-series MLLMs have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Winnie Chow , Lauren Gardiner , Haraldur T. Hallgrímsson , Maxwell A. Xu , Shirley You Ren

Databricks job orchestration systems (e.g., LeJOT) reduce cloud costs by selecting low-priced compute configurations while meeting latency and dependency constraints. Accurate execution-time prediction under heterogeneous instance types and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Lizhi Ma , Yi-Xiang Hu , Yihui Ren , Feng Wu , Xiang-Yang Li

AutoML, intended as the process of automating the application of machine learning to real-world problems, is a key step for AI popularisation. Most AutoML frameworks are not accounting for the potential lack of fairness in the training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Alessia Berarducci , Eric Rossetto , Alessandro Antonucci , Marco Zaffalon

AutoML systems are currently rising in popularity, as they can build powerful models without human oversight. They often combine techniques from many different sub-fields of machine learning in order to find a model or set of models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-03 Florian Pfisterer , Stefan Coors , Janek Thomas , Bernd Bischl

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting plays a key role in many applications. Recent works have explored using Large Language Models for MTSF to take advantage of their reasoning abilities. However, many methods treat LLMs as end-to-end…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Yao Wang , Ruijie jian , Xiaorui Wang , Luqi Gong , Yishan Jiang , Chunjie Luo , Jianfeng Zhan

Automated machine learning (AutoML) algorithms have grown in popularity due to their high performance and flexibility to adapt to different problems and data sets. With the increasing number of AutoML algorithms, deciding which would best…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Pedro Henrique Ribeiro , Patryk Orzechowski , Joost Wagenaar , Jason H. Moore

The vast majority of time-series forecasting approaches require a substantial training dataset. However, many real-life forecasting applications have very little initial observations, sometimes just 40 or fewer. Thus, the applicability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Samuel Dooley , Gurnoor Singh Khurana , Chirag Mohapatra , Siddartha Naidu , Colin White

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

We present AutoBool, a reinforcement learning (RL) framework that trains large language models (LLMs) to generate effective Boolean queries for medical systematic reviews. Boolean queries are the primary mechanism for literature retrieval…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Shuai Wang , Harrisen Scells , Bevan Koopman , Guido Zuccon

The use of machine learning (ML) algorithms has significantly increased in neuroscience. However, from the vast extent of possible ML algorithms, which one is the optimal model to predict the target variable? What are the hyperparameters…

Automated machine learning (AutoML) aims to find optimal machine learning solutions automatically given a machine learning problem. It could release the burden of data scientists from the multifarious manual tuning process and enable the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Yi-Wei Chen , Qingquan Song , Xia Hu

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian

A large part of modern machine learning theory often involves computing the high-dimensional expected trace of a rational expression of large rectangular random matrices. To symbolically compute such quantities using free probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Arjun Subramonian , Elvis Dohmatob