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This paper constructs internationally consistent measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our econometric framework extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to post-WWII…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-01 Andreas Dibiasi , Samad Sarferaz

Several key states in various regions of the U.S. have experienced recent sawtimber as well as pulp and paper mill closures, which raises an important policy question: how have and will key macroeconomic and industry specific indicators…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Andrew Crawley , Adam Daigneault , Jonathan Gendron

This study investigates the long-term effects of temperature variations on economic growth using a data-driven approach. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we analyze global land surface temperature data from Berkeley Earth and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-15 Eugene Kharitonov , Oksana Zakharchuk , Lin Mei

Extreme heat is a growing threat to both individual livelihoods and broader economies, killing a growing number of people each year as temperatures rise in many parts of the world and limiting productivity. Many studies document the link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-06 Andrew Renninger , Olena Holubowska , Paul Blanchard

The agricultural sector is particularly susceptible to the impact of climate change. In this paper, I investigate how vulnerability to climate change affects U.S. farms' credit access, and demonstrates that such impact is unequally…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-01 Teng Liu

Wildfires are increasing in frequency and size across the western U.S., with some of the deadliest fires in recorded history occurring in the last few years. The public, as well as elected officials, use social media to convey opinions and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Reza Abdi , Terri S. Hogue

Wildfires have become one of the biggest natural hazards for environments worldwide. The effects of wildfires are heterogeneous, meaning that the magnitude of their effects depends on many factors such as geographical region, climate and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-10 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Andrew T. Prata , Fernando M. Cucchietti

In the modern U.S. labor market, digital infrastructures strongly influence how individuals locate opportunities, build skills, and advance wages. Regional differences in computing access, broadband coverage, and digital literacy have…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Shaolong Wu

What is the environmental impact of exports? Focusing on 2000-20, this paper combines customs, administrative, and census microdata to estimate employment elasticities with respect to exports. The findings show that municipalities that…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-07 Carlos Góes , Otavio Conceição , Gabriel Lara Ibarra , Gladys Lopez-Acevedo

When major disaster occurs the questions are raised how to estimate the damage in time to support the decision making process and relief efforts by local authorities or humanitarian teams. In this paper we consider the use of Machine…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alexey Trekin , German Novikov , Georgy Potapov , Vladimir Ignatiev , Evgeny Burnaev

This paper studies natural disasters and the psychological costs of climate change. It presents what we believe to be the first evidence that higher temperature variability and not a higher level of temperature is what predicts natural…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-24 Aatishya Mohanty , Nattavudh Powdthavee , Cheng Keat Tang , Andrew J. Oswald

Knowing and modelling the migration phenomena and especially the social and economic consequences have a theoretical and practical importance, being related to their consequences for development, economic progress (or as appropriate,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-07 Anca Gheorghiu , Ion Spanulescu

Geographic constraints have long structured access to high-growth career opportunities, concentrating upward mobility within a limited set of cities and organizations. The expansion of remote work potentially alters this opportunity…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Yunhan Zheng , Jinhua Zhao

The US economy is transitioning away from fossil fuels toward sources of green energy. California policymakers have adopted the goal of carbon neutrality by 2045 or earlier. Within California, Kern County accounts for over 70 percent of oil…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-13 Rich Ryan , Nyakundi Michieka

Using foot traffic data for over 150,000 points of interest (POIs) near the sites of 42 mass shootings (2018-2022, U.S.), we evaluate the spatial-temporal impact of the tragic events on community mobility and relocation of economic…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-15 Miguel Cuellar , Hyunseok Jung

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

The Covid-19 pandemic has led to the rise of remote work with consequences for the global division of work. Remote work could connect labour markets, but it could also increase spatial polarisation. However, our understanding of the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-15 Fabian Braesemann , Fabian Stephany , Ole Teutloff , Otto Kässi , Mark Graham , Vili Lehdonvirta

How labor markets adjust immediately after minimum wage hikes remains an open, policy-relevant question. This paper studies short-run minimum-wage effects in Japan's spot labor market using Timee data and a wage-bin…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Hayato Kanayama , Sho Miyaji , Suguru Otani

A pervasive trend in economic development is the shift from agricultural to manufacturing and finally to service economies. Because the type of employment associated with each sector influences natural resource use this global trend may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-05 Diego Rybski , David P. Helmers , Prajal Pradhan , Shade T. Shutters , Volker Radeloff , Van Butsic

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused significant mortality and morbidity worldwide, sparing almost no community. As the disease will likely remain a threat for years to come, an understanding of the precise influences of human demographics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Niayesh Afshordi , Benjamin Holder , Mohammad Bahrami , Daniel Lichtblau