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In this paper, we develop a Bayesian calendar-time survival model motivated by infectious disease prevention studies occurring during an epidemic, when the risk of infection can change rapidly as the epidemic curve shifts. For studies in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Angela M Dahl , Elizabeth R Brown

Individuals with bipolar disorder tend to cycle through disease states such as depression and mania. The heterogeneous nature of disease across states complicates the evaluation of interventions for bipolar disorder patients, as varied…

Studies on how to model the interplay between diseases and behavioral responses (so-called coupled disease-behavior interaction) have attracted increasing attention. Owing to the lack of obvious clinical evidence of diseases, or the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-24 Hai-Feng Zhang , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Can Liu , Michael Small

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has led to an increasing interest in the modeling and analysis of infectious diseases. The pandemic has made a significant impact on the way we behave and interact in our daily life. The past year has witnessed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Shutian Liu , Yuhan Zhao , Quanyan Zhu

The 1mm roundworm C. elegans is a model organism used in many sub-areas of biology to investigate different types of biological processes. In order to complement the n-vivo analysis with computer-based investigations, several methods have…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-02 Nemanja Antonic , Monika Scholz , Aymeric Vellinger , Euphrasie Ramahefarivo , Elio Tuci

Agent-based models (ABMs) are widely used to study infectious disease dynamics, but their calibration is often computationally intensive, limiting their applicability in time-sensitive public health settings. We propose DeepIMC (Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Sima Najafzadehkhoei , George Vega Yon , Derek S. Meyer , Bernardo Modenesi

Human mobility forms the backbone of contact patterns through which infectious diseases propagate, fundamentally shaping the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics and pandemics. While traditional models are often based on the assumption…

Vision language models (VLMs) show promise in medical diagnosis, but their performance across demographic subgroups when using in-context learning (ICL) remains poorly understood. We examine how the demographic composition of demonstration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Sonnet Xu , Joseph Janizek , Yixing Jiang , Roxana Daneshjou

This paper investigates the impact of human activity and mobility (HAM) in the spreading dynamics of an epidemic. Specifically, it explores the interconnections between HAM and its effect on the early spread of the COVID-19 virus. During…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-06 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Chinwendu Enyioha , Suddhasattwa Das

The functional independence measure (FIM) is widely used to evaluate patients' physical independence in activities of daily living. However, traditional FIM assessment imposes a significant burden on both patients and healthcare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Jun Masaki , Ariaki Higashi , Naoko Shinagawa , Kazuhiko Hirata , Yuichi Kurita , Akira Furui

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

This research investigates the coupled dynamics of behavior and infectious disease using a mathematical model. We integrate a two-state q-voter opinion process with SIS-type infection dynamics, where transmission rates are influenced by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-13 Thomas Goetz , Tyll Krueger , Karol Niedzielewski , Jan Schneider , Barbara Pabjan

Individual-level human mobility prediction has emerged as a significant topic of research with applications in infectious disease monitoring, child, and elderly care. Existing studies predominantly focus on the microscopic aspects of human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Yueyang Liu , Lance Kennedy , Ruochen Kong , Joon-Seok Kim , Andreas Züfle

Mathematical and simulation models are often used to predict the spread of a disease and estimate the impact of public health interventions, and many such models have been developed and used during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-18 Jeffrey W. Herrmann , Hongjie Liu , Donald K. Milton

Brain computer interfaces (BCI) depend on reliable realtime detection of conscious EEG changes for example to control a video game. However, scalp recordings are contaminated with non-stationary noise, such as facial muscle activity and eye…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-04 Bernd Porr , Lucía Muñoz Bohollo

The widely used susceptible-infected-recovered (S-I-R) epidemic model assumes a uniform, well-mixed population, and incorporation of spatial heterogeneities remains a major challenge. Understanding failures of the mixing assumption is…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-04-23 P. Forgacs , A. Libal , C. Reichhardt , N. Hengartner , C. J. O. Reichhardt

In the infectious disease literature, significant effort has been devoted to studying dynamics at a single scale. For example, compartmental models describing population-level dynamics are often formulated using differential equations. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Yuan Yin , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

Pandemics, in addition to affecting the health of populations, can have huge impacts on their social and economic behavior. These factors, on the other hand, have the potential to feed back to and influence the disease spreading. It is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-28 Jan E. Snellman , Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Maarit J. Korpi--Lagg

The integration of mobile health (mHealth) devices into behavioral health research has fundamentally changed the way researchers and interventionalists are able to collect data as well as deploy and evaluate intervention strategies. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Matthew D. Koslovsky , Emily T. Hebert , Michael S. Businelle , Marina Vannucci

This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…