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Recent empirical observations suggest a heterogeneous nature of human activities. The heavy-tailed inter-event time distribution at population level is well accepted, while whether the individual acts in a heterogeneous way is still under…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-28 Zimo Yang , Ai-Xiang Cui , Tao Zhou

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Jonas Dehning , Johannes Zierenberg , F. Paul Spitzner , Michael Wibral , Joao Pinheiro Neto , Michael Wilczek , Viola Priesemann

The risk of indoor airborne transmission among co-located individuals is generally non-uniform, which remains a critical challenge for public health modelling. Thus, we present CompARE, an integrated risk assessment framework for indoor…

The spread of an infectious disease is known to change people's behavior, which in turn affects the spread of disease. Adaptive network models that account for both epidemic and behavior change have found oscillations, but in an extremely…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-16 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

This paper analyses the dynamics of infectious disease with a concurrent spread of disease awareness. The model includes local awareness due to contacts with aware individuals, as well as global awareness due to reported cases of infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-21 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

Understanding the social determinants of preventive behavior is vital for epidemic modelling and effective policy making. Traditional models emphasize imitation or rational trade-offs, but recent evidence highlights the role of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Christos Charalambous

It is well known that behavioral changes in contact patterns may significantly affect the spread of an epidemic outbreak. Here we focus on simple endemic models for recurrent epidemics, by modelling the social contact rate as a function of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-16 Alberto d'Onofrio , Piero Manfredi

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

Despite recent advances in uncovering the quantitative features of stationary human activity patterns, many applications, from pandemic prediction to emergency response, require an understanding of how these patterns change when the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-06 James P. Bagrow , Dashun Wang , Albert-László Barabási

Background: Human behavior shapes infectious disease dynamics, yet its integration into transmission models remains fragmented. Recent epidemics, particularly COVID-19, highlight the need for models capturing adaptation to perceived risk,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Youngji Jo , Sileshi Sintayehu Sharbayta , Bruno Buonomo

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

We study a three-species cyclic model whose organisms are vulnerable to contamination with an infectious disease which propagates person-to-person. We consider that individuals of one species perform an evolutionary self-preservation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-05 J. Menezes

Shifts in individual movement patterns following disruptive events can reveal changing demands for community resources. However, predicting such shifts before disruptive events remains challenging for several reasons. First, measures are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Shangde Gao , Zelin Xu , Zhe Jiang

Epidemiological models are an important tool in coping with epidemics, as they offer a forecast, even if often simplistic, of the behavior of the disease in the population. This allows responsible health agencies to organize themselves and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-03 Eliza Maria Ferreira , Ricardo Edem Ferreira , Chiara Mocenni

In recommender systems, multi-behavior methods have demonstrated their effectiveness in mitigating issues like data sparsity, a common challenge in traditional single-behavior recommendation approaches. These methods typically infer user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Mingshi Yan , Fan Liu , Jing Sun , Fuming Sun , Zhiyong Cheng , Yahong Han

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for medical consultation and health information support. In this high-stakes setting, safety depends not only on medical knowledge, but also on how models respond when patient inputs are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Yahan Li , Xinyi Jie , Wanjia Ruan , Xubei Zhang , Huaijie Zhu , Yicheng Gao , Chaohao Du , Ruishan Liu