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The Global Methane Pledge and other methane measures may potentially undermine CO2 mitigation in certain countries, unless they are considered as additional to the existing Nationally Determined Contributions to strengthen overall…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-08 Katsumasa Tanaka , Kushal Tibrewal , Philippe Ciais , Olivier Boucher

Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

A transition to a fully global renewable energy infrastructure is potentially possible in no more than a few decades, even using current wind/solar technologies. We demonstrate that at its completion this transition would terminate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Peter D. Schwartzman , David W. Schwartzman , Xiaochun Zhang

We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations' scope of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application, we…

The European Union Emissions Trading System is set to substantially increase the effective carbon price faced by airlines. To quantify the impact of this carbon regulation on the European airline industry, we estimate a two-stage model of…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-31 Ertian Chen , Lichao Chen , Lars Nesheim

Europe's contribution to global warming will be determined by the cumulative emissions until climate neutrality is achieved. In this paper, we investigate alternative transition paths under carbon budgets corresponding to temperature…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-01 Marta Victoria , Elisabeth Zeyen , Tom Brown

We propose two general equilibrium models, quota equilibrium and emission tax equilibrium. The government specifies quotas or taxes on emissions, then refrains from further action. Quota equilibrium exists; the allocation of emission…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-10-06 Robert M. Anderson , Haosui Duanmu

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is one of several organizations that have presented goals for future CO2 emissions from commercial aviation with the intent of alleviating the associated environmental impacts. These goals…

The IPCC AR6 assessment of the impacts and risks associated with projected climate changes for the 21st century is both alarming and ambiguous. According to computer projections, the global surface may warm from 1.3 to 8.0 {\deg}C by 2100,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 Nicola Scafetta

Using feedback-free estimates of the warming by increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and observed rates of increase, we estimate that if the United States (U.S.) eliminated net CO2 emissions by the year 2050, this would avert a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-12 R. Lindzen , W. Happer , W. A. van Wijngaarden

As an important step to fulfill the Paris Agreement and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, the European Commission adopted the most ambitious package of climate impact measures in April 2021 to improve the flow of capital towards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 You Han , Achintya Gopal , Liwen Ouyang , Aaron Key

Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) moves atmospheric carbon to geological or land-based sinks. In a first-best setting, the optimal use of CDR is achieved by a removal subsidy that equals the optimal carbon tax and marginal damages. We derive…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-20 Max Franks , Matthias Kalkuhl , Kai Lessmann

In the context of the Paris Agreement, Chile has pledged to reduce Greenhouse Gases (GHG) intensity by at least 30% below 2007 levels by 2030, and to phase out coal as a energy source by 2040, among other strategies. In pursue of these…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-23 Pía Amigo , Sebastián Cea-Echenique , Felipe Feijoo

Through its initiative known as the Climate Change Act (2008), the Government of the United Kingdom encourages corporations to enhance their environmental performance with the significant aim of reducing targeted greenhouse gas emissions by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Probowo Erawan Sastroredjo , Marcel Ausloos , Polina Khrennikova

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Premium air travel is often associated with a disproportionately large carbon emissions footprint. This association reflects the increased space and amenities typically found in premium cabins that existing discourse suggests makes their…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-03 Megan Yeo , Sebastian Nosenzo , Daniel S. Palmer , Alexei K. Varah , Lucas Woodley , Ashley Nunes

Ambitious targets for renewable energy and CO2 taxation both represent political instruments for decarbonisation of the energy system. We model a high number of coupled electricity and heating systems, where the primary sources of CO2…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-18 K. Zhu , M. Victoria , T. Brown , G. B. Andresen , M. Greiner

We estimate the national social cost of carbon using a recent meta-analysis of the total impact of climate change and a standard integrated assessment model. The average social cost of carbon closely follows per capita income, the national…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-21 Matthew K. Agrawala , Richard S. J. Tol

Responses to the global climate crisis often focus on the largest current emitters of greenhouse gases. However, analysis shows that about a third of emissions come from a collection of small emitters, each contributing one- to two-percent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-15 A. D. J. Haymet

The most serious threat to ecosystems is the global climate change fueled by the uncontrolled increase in carbon emissions. In this project, we use mean field control and mean field game models to analyze and inform the decisions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Rene Carmona , Gokce Dayanikli , Mathieu Lauriere