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Aspiring to achieve an accurate Bitcoin price prediction based on people's opinions on Twitter usually requires millions of tweets, using different text mining techniques (preprocessing, tokenization, stemming, stop word removal), and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Sattarov Otabek , Jaeyoung Choi

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chan Kim , Wade Kimbrough

There are no solid arguments to sustain that digital currencies are the future of online payments or the disruptive technology that some of its former participants declared when used to face critiques. This paper aims to solve the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-03 Obryan Poyser

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Faizaan Pervaiz , Christopher Goh , Ashley Pennington , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Cryptocurrencies (CCs) become more interesting for institutional investors' strategic asset allocation and will be a fixed component of professional portfolios in future. This asset class differs from established assets especially in terms…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-25 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Jonas Krettek , Lars M. Kürzinger , Tim Schmitz

Can unstructured text data from social media help explain the drivers of large asset price fluctuations? This paper investigates how social forces affect asset prices, by using machine learning tools to extract beliefs and positions of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-09 Valentina Semenova , Julian Winkler

With the advance of the Internet, ordinary users have created multiple personal accounts on online social networks, and interactions among these social network users have recently been tagged with location information. In this work, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-25 William Lucia , Cuneyt Gurcan Akcora , Elena Ferrari

Data extracted from social media platforms, such as Twitter, are both large in scale and complex in nature, since they contain both unstructured text, as well as structured data, such as time stamps and interactions between users. A key…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Donggeng Xia , Shawn Mankad , George Michailidis

Cryptocurrencies are digital tokens built on blockchain technology, with thousands actively traded on centralized exchanges (CEXs). Unlike stocks, which are backed by real businesses, cryptocurrencies are recognized as a distinct class of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-18 Yu Zhang , Zelin Wu , Claudio Tessone

Cryptocurrencies have evolved into an important asset class, providing a variety of benefits. However, they also present significant risks, such as market volatility and the potential for misuse in illegal activities. These risks underline…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xihan Xiong , Junliang Luo

This research analyses high-frequency data of the cryptocurrency market in regards to intraday trading patterns related to algorithmic trading and its impact on the European cryptocurrency market. We study trading quantitatives such as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-10 Alla A. Petukhina , Raphael C. G. Reule , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The problem of investing into a cryptocurrency market requires good understanding of the processes that regulate the price of the currency. In this paper we offer a view of a cryptocurrency market as an environment for realization of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-18 Misha Perepelitsa

Blockchain technology relies on decentralization to resist faults and attacks while operating without trusted intermediaries. Although industry experts have touted decentralization as central to their promise and disruptive potential, it is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Harang Ju , Ehsan Valavi , Madhav Kumar , Sinan Aral

Bitcoin is the first and undoubtedly most successful cryptocurrecny to date with a market capitalization of more than 100 billion dollars. Today, Bitcoin has more than 100,000 supporting merchants and more than 3 million active users.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Emmanouil Karampinakis , Michalis Pachilakis , Panagiotis Papadopoulos , Antonis Krithinakis , Evangelos P. Markatos

A key challenge for Bitcoin cryptocurrency holders, such as startups using ICOs to raise funding, is managing their FX risk. Specifically, a misinformed decision to convert Bitcoin to fiat currency could, by itself, cost USD millions. In…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-15 Cuneyt Akcora , Matthew Dixon , Yulia Gel , Murat Kantarcioglu

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

Social networking and micro-blogging services, such as Twitter, play an important role in sharing digital information. Despite the popularity and usefulness of social media, they are regularly abused by corrupt users. One of these nefarious…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Tanveer Khan , Antonis Michalas

The application of Bitcoin enables people to understand blockchain technology gradually. Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that does not rely on third-party credit institutions, and the core of Bitcoin's underlying technology is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Yuhuan Yang , Shipeng Ye , Xiaoqi Li

How can individual agents coordinate their actions to achieve a shared objective in distributed systems? This challenge spans economic, technical, and sociological domains, each confronting scalability, heterogeneity, and conflicts between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Junwei Su , Peter Marbach

We implement traditional machine learning and deep learning methods for global tweets from 2017-2022 to build a high-frequency measure of the public's sentiment index on inflation and analyze its correlation with other online data sources…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Xinyu Li , Zihan Tang