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In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

We study the approximation of $\mathbb{E}f(X_T)$ by a Monte Carlo algorithm, where $X$ is the solution of a stochastic differential equation and $f$ is a given function. We introduce a new variance reduction method, which can be viewed as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ahmed Kebaier

We provide a general result for bounding the difference between point probabilities of integer supported distributions and the translated Poisson distribution, a convenient alternative to the discretized normal. We illustrate our theorem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 A. D. Barbour , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

We develop a new technique, based on Stein's method, for comparing two stationary distributions of irreducible Markov Chains whose update rules are `close enough'. We apply this technique to compare Ising models on $d$-regular expander…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj M. Nagaraj

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

We consider the Moran model in continuous time with two types, mutation, and selection. We concentrate on the ancestral line and its stationary type distribution. Building on work by Fearnhead (J. Appl. Prob. 39 (2002), 38-54) and Taylor…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-09 Sandra Kluth , Thiemo Hustedt , Ellen Baake

In this paper, we obtain quantitative, non-asymptotic, and data-dependent \textit{Bernstein-von Mises type} bounds on the normal approximation of the posterior distribution in exponential family models with arbitrary centring and scaling.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

We use the Stein-Chen method to prove new explicit inequalities for the total variation, Wasserstein and local distances between the distribution of a random diagonal sum of a Bernoulli matrix and a Poisson distribution. Approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Bero Roos

We establish the convergences (with respect to the simulation time $t$; the number of particles $N$; the timestep $\gamma$) of a Moran/Fleming-Viot type particle scheme toward the quasi-stationary distribution of a diffusion on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Lucas Journel , Pierre Monmarché

Numerical approximation of the long time behavior of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) is considered. Error estimates for time-averaging estimators are obtained and then used to show that the stationary behavior of the numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Jonathan C. Mattingly , Andrew M. Stuart , M. V. Tretyakov

By a delicate analysis for the Stein's equation associated to the $\alpha$-stable law approximation with $\alpha \in (0,2)$, we prove a quantitative stable central limit theorem in Wasserstein type distance, which generalizes the results in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Peng Chen , Ivan Nourdin , Lihu Xu , Xiaochuan Yang

We obtain Stein approximation bounds for stochastic integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure over ${\Bbb R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. This approach relies on third cumulant Edgeworth-type expansions based on derivation operators defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

Using Stein's method and the Malliavin calculus of variations, we derive explicit estimates for the Gamma approximation of functionals of a Poisson measure. In particular, conditions are presented under which the distribution of a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Giovanni Peccati , Christoph Thaele

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a random sample from the Gamma distribution with density $f(x)=\lambda^{\alpha}x^{\alpha-1}e^{-\lambda x}/\Gamma(\alpha)$, $x>0$, where both $\alpha>0$ (the shape parameter) and $\lambda>0$ (the reciprocal scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Nickos Papadatos

We establish Poisson and compound Poisson approximations for stabilizing statistics of $\beta$-mixing point processes and give explicit rates of convergence. Our findings are based on a general estimate of the total variation distance of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Nicolas Chenavier , Moritz Otto

Inference methods are often formulated as variational approximations: these approximations allow easy evaluation of statistics by marginalization or linear response, but these estimates can be inconsistent. We show that by introducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-27 Jack Raymond , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

Stein's method is used to study discrete representations of multidimensional distributions that arise as approximations of states of quantum harmonic oscillators. These representations model how quantum effects result from the interaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Ian W. McKeague , Yvik Swan

Several bivariate beta distributions have been proposed in the literature. In particular, Olkin and Liu (2003) proposed a 3 parameter bivariate beta model, which Arnold and Ng (2011) extend to 5 and 8 parameter models. The 3 parameter model…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 Roberto C. Crackel , James M. Flegal

Many spatial models exhibit locality structures that effectively reduce their intrinsic dimensionality, enabling efficient approximation and sampling of high-dimensional distributions. However, existing approximation techniques primarily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tiangang Cui , Shuigen Liu , Xin T. Tong
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