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Consider a family of distributions $\{\pi_{\beta}\}$ where $X\sim\pi_{\beta}$ means that $\mathbb{P}(X=x)=\exp(-\beta H(x))/Z(\beta)$. Here $Z(\beta)$ is the proper normalizing constant, equal to $\sum_x\exp(-\beta H(x))$. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Mark Huber

Stein's method provides a way of bounding the distance of a probability distribution to a target distribution $\mu$. Here we develop Stein's method for the class of discrete Gibbs measures with a density $e^V$, where $V$ is the energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Gesine Reinert

We show how the infinitesimal exchangeable pairs approach to Stein's method combines naturally with the theory of Markov semigroups. We present a multivariate normal approximation theorem for functions of a random variable invariant with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 David Grzybowski , Mark Meckes

Let $M$ be a random matrix in the orthogonal group $\O_n$, distributed according to Haar measure, and let $A$ be a fixed $n\times n$ matrix over $\R$ such that $\tr(AA^t)=n$. Then the total variation distance of the random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Elizabeth Meckes

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

The stationary distribution of a sample taken from a Wright-Fisher diffusion with general small mutation rates is found using a coalescent approach. The approximation is equivalent to having at most one mutation in the coalescent tree to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-31 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

We derive the conjugate prior of the Dirichlet and beta distributions and explore it with numerical examples to gain an intuitive understanding of the distribution itself, its hyperparameters, and conditions concerning its convergence. Due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-08 Kaspar Thommen

Let F ($\nu$) be the centered Gamma law with parameter $\nu$ > 0 and let us denote by P Y the probability distribution of a random vector Y. We develop a multidimensional variant of the Stein's method for Gamma approximation that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Ciprian A Tudor , Jérémy Zurcher

Stein's method has been widely used for probability approximations. However, in the multi-dimensional setting, most of the results are for multivariate normal approximation or for test functions with bounded second- or higher-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao , Lihu Xu

A transformation group approach to the prior for the parameters of the beta distribution is suggested which accounts for finite sets of data by imposing a limit to the range of parameter values under consideration. The relationship between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-10-18 Robert W. Johnson

A stochastic ordering approach is applied with Stein's method for approximation by the equilibrium distribution of a birth-death process. The usual stochastic order and the more general s-convex orders are discussed. Attention is focused on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Fraser Daly , Claude Lefèvre , Sergey Utev

We describe the underlying probabilistic interpretation of alpha and beta divergences. We first show that beta divergences are inherently tied to Tweedie distributions, a particular type of exponential family, known as exponential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-20 Y. Kenan Yilmaz , A. Taylan Cemgil

The Eulerian number A(n,k) counts permutations of n symbols with exactly k descents. Motivated by problems in cryptography, several authors have studied the proportion of permutations whose number of descents lies in a fixed congruence…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Jason Fulman , Adrian Röllin

In Stein's method, the exchangeable pair approach is commonly used to estimate the approximation errors in normal approximation. In this paper, we establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem of normal approximation for unbounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Zhuo-Song Zhang

A dynamical model of an ecological community is analyzed within a "mean-field approximation" in which one of the species interacts with the combination of all of the other species in the community. Within this approximation the model may be…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Alan McKane , David Alonso , Ricard V. Sole

Many applications in genetic analyses utilize sampling distributions, which describe the probability of observing a sample of DNA sequences randomly drawn from a population. In the one-locus case with special models of mutation such as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anand Bhaskar , John A. Kamm , Yun S. Song

In this paper, novel closed-form point estimators of the beta distribution are proposed and investigated. The first estimators are a modified version of Pearson's method of moments. The underlying idea is to involve the sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Piao Chen , Xun Xiao

The Ewens sampling formula was firstly introduced in the context of population genetics by Warren John Ewens in 1972, and has appeared in a lot of other scientific fields. There are abundant approximation results associated with the Ewens…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda

Stein's method (Stein, 1973; 1981) is a powerful tool for statistical applications and has significantly impacted machine learning. Stein's lemma plays an essential role in Stein's method. Previous applications of Stein's lemma either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Wu Lin , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Mark Schmidt

Motivated by the central limit problem for convex bodies, we study normal approximation of linear functionals of high-dimensional random vectors with various types of symmetries. In particular, we obtain results for distributions which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes