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Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

In the evolving power system, where new renewable resources continually displace conventional generation, conventional hydropower resources can be an important asset that helps to maintain reliability and flexibility. Varying climatic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Bhaskar Mitra , Sohom Datta , Slaven Kincic , Nader Samaan , Abhishek Somani

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

The need for resiliency of electricity supply is increasing due to increasing frequency of natural disasters---such as hurricanes---that disrupt supply from the power grid. Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) panels together with batteries can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-13 Ninad Gaikwad , Naren Srivaths Raman , Prabir Barooah

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

The determination of environmentally- and economically-optimal energy system designs and operations is complex. In particular, the integration of weather-dependent renewable energy technologies into energy system optimization models…

The increasing transmission capacity needs in a future energy system raise the question how associated costs should be allocated to the users of a strengthened power grid. In contrast to straightforward oversimplified methods, a flow…

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

Hydrogen-based long-duration electricity storage (LDES) is a key component of renewable energy systems to deal with seasonality and prolonged periods of low wind and solar energy availability. In this paper, we investigate how electrified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt , Alexander Roth , Wolf-Peter Schill

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Milan Jain , Xueqing Sun , Sohom Datta , Abhishek Somani

Photovoltaic systems have been widely deployed in recent times to meet the increased electricity demand as an environmental-friendly energy source. The major challenge for integrating photovoltaic systems in power systems is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-13 Reza Zafarani , Sara Eftekharnejad , Urvi Patel

The European electricity power grid is transitioning towards renewable energy sources, characterized by an increasing share of off- and onshore wind and solar power. However, the weather dependency of these energy sources poses a challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Felix Strnad , Jonathan Schmidt , Fabian Mockert , Philipp Hennig , Nicole Ludwig

The forecasting of large ramps in wind power output known as ramp events is crucial for the incorporation of large volumes of wind energy into national electricity grids. Large variations in wind power supply must be compensated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Russell Sharp , Hisham Ihshaish , J. Ignacio Deza

The reliable power system operation is a major goal for electric utilities, which requires the accurate reliability forecasting to minimize the duration of power interruptions. Since weather conditions are usually the leading causes for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Longfei Wei , Arif I. Sarwat

We propose two scenario-based optimization models for power grid resilience decision making that integrate output from a hydrology model with a power flow model. The models are used to identify an optimal substation hardening strategy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Ashutosh Shukla , Erhan Kutanoglu , John J. Hasenbein

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li

The increasing frequency and severity of High Impact and Low Probability events such as hurricanes and windstorms pose significant challenges to the resilience of electrical power distribution systems, particularly in regions of New England…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Hritik Gopal Shah , Gregory Giustino , Elli Ntakou

Ice storms are extreme weather events that can have devastating implications for the sustainability of natural ecosystems as well as man made infrastructure. Ice storms are caused by a complex mix of atmospheric conditions and are among the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-15 Ranjini Swaminathan , Mohan Sridharan , Katharine Hayhoe