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We propose new concepts in order to analyze and model the dependence structure between two time series. Our methods rely exclusively on the order structure of the data points. Hence, the methods are stable under monotone transformations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Alexander Schnurr , Herold Dehling

Data-driven surrogate modeling has emerged as a promising approach for reducing computational expenses of multiscale simulations. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is a common choice for modeling of path-dependent behavior. However, previous…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Yangzi He , Shabnam J. Semnani

Neural networks inspired by differential equations have proliferated for the past several years. Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) and neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) are two representative examples of them. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Sheo Yon Jhin , Heejoo Shin , Seoyoung Hong , Solhee Park , Noseong Park

State-of-the-art neurosymbolic learning systems use probabilistic reasoning to guide neural networks towards predictions that conform to logical constraints over symbols. Many such systems assume that the probabilities of the considered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-10 Emile van Krieken , Pasquale Minervini , Edoardo M. Ponti , Antonio Vergari

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

This work proposes an extension of neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) by introducing an additional set of ODE input parameters to NODEs. This extension allows NODEs to learn multiple dynamics specified by the input parameter…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-11-17 Kookjin Lee , Eric J. Parish

The relative degree limitation for adaptive observer-based synchronization schemes is overcome. The scheme is extended to nonpassifiable systems. Two synchronization methods are described and justified based on augmented error adaptive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. O. Nikiforov , A. L. Fradkov , B. R. Andrievsky

Operational weather prediction has long relied on physics-based numerical weather prediction (NWP), whose accuracy comes at the cost of substantial compute and complex simulation workflows. Recent transformer-based forecasters offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Hira Saleem , Flora Salim , Cormac Purcell

Astronomical time series from large-scale surveys like LSST are often irregularly sampled and incomplete, posing challenges for classification and anomaly detection. We introduce a new framework based on Neural Stochastic Delay Differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 YongKyung Oh , Seungsu Kam , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Many real-world systems, such as moving planets, can be considered as multi-agent dynamic systems, where objects interact with each other and co-evolve along with the time. Such dynamics is usually difficult to capture, and understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Zijie Huang , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

This work proposes a detectability condition for linear time-varying systems based on the exponential dichotomy spectrum. The condition guarantees the existence of an observer, whose gain is determined only by the unstable modes of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-20 Markus Tranninger , Richard Seeber , Martin Steinberger , Martin Horn , Christian Pötzsche

Neural differential equations offer a powerful framework for modeling continuous-time dynamics, but forecasting stiff biophysical systems remains unreliable. Standard Neural ODEs and physics informed variants often require orders of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Kamalpreet Singh Kainth , Prathamesh Dinesh Joshi , Raj Abhijit Dandekar , Rajat Dandekar , Sreedat Panat

A key appeal of the recently proposed Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) framework is that it seems to provide a continuous-time extension of discrete residual neural networks. As we show herein, though, trained Neural ODE models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Katharina Ott , Prateek Katiyar , Philipp Hennig , Michael Tiemann

This paper proposes a novel fault detection and isolation (FDI) scheme for distributed parameter systems modeled by a class of parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) with nonlinear uncertain dynamics. A key feature of the proposed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Jingting Zhang , Chengzhi Yuan , Wei Zeng , Cong Wang

We prove that stochastic gradient descent efficiently converges to the global optimizer of the maximum likelihood objective of an unknown linear time-invariant dynamical system from a sequence of noisy observations generated by the system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Moritz Hardt , Tengyu Ma , Benjamin Recht

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations replace the right-hand side of a conventional ODE with a neural net, which by virtue of the universal approximation theorem, can be trained to the representation of any function. When we do not know…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-25 Robert Strauss

Opportunistic detection rules (ODRs) are variants of fixed-sample-size detection rules in which the statistician is allowed to make an early decision on the alternative hypothesis opportunistically based on the sequentially observed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Wenyi Zhang , George V. Moustakides , H. Vincent Poor

When deploying a trained machine learning model in the real world, it is inevitable to receive inputs from out-of-distribution (OOD) sources. For instance, in continual learning settings, it is common to encounter OOD samples due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Chuanwen Feng , Wenlong Chen , Ao Ke , Yilong Ren , Xike Xie , S. Kevin Zhou

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao