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Periodic autoregressive (PAR) time series with finite variance is considered as one of the most common models of second-order cyclostationary processes. However, in the real applications, the signals with periodic characteristics may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

This paper deals with the estimation problem of misspecified ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation models based on high-frequency samples. We utilize the widely applicable and tractable Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Yuma Uehara

In this article, we discuss some geometric infinitely divisible (gid) random variables using the Laplace exponents which are Bernstein functions and study their properties. The distributional properties and limiting behavior of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Monika Singh Dhull , Arun Kumar

Supervised learning models are one of the most fundamental classes of models. Viewing supervised learning from a probabilistic perspective, the set of training data to which the model is fitted is usually assumed to follow a stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Kungang Zhang , Anh T. Bui , Daniel W. Apley

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Minglei Yang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Guannan Zhang

The aim of this paper is to present a result of discrete approximation of some class of stable self-similar stationary increments processes. The properties of such processes were intensively investigated, but little is known on the context…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-18 Clément Dombry , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

A class of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-Levy measure is defined and its properties are studied. We discuss some new insights on the structure of the semi-Levy measure which is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , S. Shoaee

We present an optimal control approach to the problem of model calibration for L\'evy processes based on a non parametric estimation procedure. The calibration problem is of considerable interest in mathematical finance and beyond.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-30 Mario Annunziato , Hanno Gottschalk

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

Likelihood-based estimation methods involve the normalising constant of the model distributions, expressed as a function of the parameter. However in many problems this function is not easily available, and then less efficient but more…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Silvia Columbu , Valentina Mameli , Monica Musio , A. Philip Dawid

In this paper we present a robust estimator for the parameters of a continuous-time ARMA(p,q) (CARMA(p,q)) process sampled equidistantly which is not necessarily Gaussian. Therefore, an indirect estimation procedure is used. It is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Sebastian Kimmig

Information theoretic quantities play an important role in various settings in machine learning, including causality testing, structure inference in graphical models, time-series problems, feature selection as well as in providing privacy…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Arman Rahimzamani , Himanshu Asnani , Pramod Viswanath , Sreeram Kannan

Functional autoregressive (FAR) models provide a fundamental framework for analyzing temporally dependent functional data. However, the infinite-dimensional nature of the underlying Hilbert space introduces intrinsic ill-posedness, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ying Niu , Yuwei Zhao , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang

The purpose of this paper is to adapt the empirical characteristic function (ECF) method to stable, but possibly not inverse stable linear stochastic system driven by the increments of a Levy-process. A remarkable property of the ECF method…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-07 L. Gerencser , M. Manfay

In this study we show how to represent a continuous time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) as a higher order stochastic delay differential equation, which may be thought of as a continuous-time equivalent of the AR($\infty$)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen , Victor Rohde

A popular and flexible time series model for counts is the generalized integer autoregressive process of order $p$, GINAR($p$). These Markov processes are defined using thinning operators evaluated on past values of the process along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Pashmeen Kaur , Peter F. Craigmile

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

This paper considers a continuous time analogue of the classical autoregressive moving average processes, L\'evy-driven CARMA processes. First we describe limiting properties of the periodogram by means of the so-called truncated Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Robert Stelzer , Żywilla fechner