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Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events. However, most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ke Yan , Ling Tian

The classical temporal point process (TPP) constructs an intensity function by taking the occurrence times into account. Nevertheless, occurrence time may not be the only relevant factor, other contextual data, termed covariates, may also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Zizhuo Meng , Boyu Li , Xuhui Fan , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Fang Chen , Feng Zhou

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) model discrete events distributed in time and space, with important applications in areas such as criminology, seismology, epidemiology, and social networks. Traditional models often rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

Many scientific fields, from medicine to seismology, rely on analyzing sequences of events over time to understand complex systems. Traditionally, machine learning models must be built and trained from scratch for each new dataset, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez

Marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) model sequences of events occurring at irregular time intervals, with wide-ranging applications in fields such as healthcare, finance and social networks. We propose the state-space point process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Cao Xiao , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Padhraic Smyth , Andrew Warrington

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs), especially Hawkes Process are commonly used for modeling asynchronous event sequences data such as financial transactions and user behaviors in social networks. Due to the strong fitting ability of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Anningzhe Gao , Shan Dai

We introduce DanmakuTPPBench, a comprehensive benchmark designed to advance multi-modal Temporal Point Process (TPP) modeling in the era of Large Language Models (LLMs). While TPPs have been widely studied for modeling temporal event…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Yue Jiang , Jichu Li , Yang Liu , Dingkang Yang , Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong

Autoregressive neural networks within the temporal point process (TPP) framework have become the standard for modeling continuous-time event data. Even though these models can expressively capture event sequences in a one-step-ahead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 David Lüdke , Marin Biloš , Oleksandr Shchur , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) hold a pivotal role in modeling event sequences across diverse domains, including social networking and e-commerce, and have significantly contributed to the advancement of recommendation systems and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Maolin Wang , Yu Pan , Zenglin Xu , Ruocheng Guo , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Langming Liu

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are a fundamental tool for modeling event sequences in continuous time, but most existing approaches rely on autoregressive parameterizations that are limited by their sequential sampling. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 David Lüdke , Marten Lienen , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

Temporal sequences have become pervasive in various real-world applications. Consequently, the volume of data generated in the form of continuous time-event sequence(s) or CTES(s) has increased exponentially in the past few years. Thus, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Abir De

In recent years, marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) have emerged as a powerful modeling machinery to characterize asynchronous events in a wide variety of applications. MTPPs have demonstrated significant potential in predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Prathamesh Deshpande , Kamlesh Marathe , Abir De , Sunita Sarawagi

Marked Temporal Point Process (MTPP) has been well studied to model the event distribution in marked event streams, which can be used to predict the mark and arrival time of the next event. However, existing studies overlook that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Sishun Liu , Ke Deng , Yongli Ren , Yan Wang , Xiuzhen Zhang

Online discussion forum creates an asynchronous conversation environment for online users to exchange ideas and share opinions through a unique thread-reply communication mode. Accurately modeling information dynamics under such a mode is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Chen Ling , Guangmo Tong , Mozi Chen

While machine learning has witnessed significant advancements, the emphasis has largely been on data acquisition and model creation. However, achieving a comprehensive assessment of machine learning solutions in real-world settings…

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Generative, pre-trained transformers (GPTs, a.k.a. "Foundation Models") have reshaped natural language processing (NLP) through their versatility in diverse downstream tasks. However, their potential extends far beyond NLP. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Matthew B. A. McDermott , Bret Nestor , Peniel Argaw , Isaac Kohane

Any human activity can be represented as a temporal sequence of actions performed to achieve a certain goal. Unlike machine-made time series, these action sequences are highly disparate as the time taken to finish a similar action might…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have recently become increasingly interesting for learning dynamics in graph data. A reason for this is that learning on dynamic graph data is becoming more relevant, since data from many scientific fields,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Alice Moallemy-Oureh , Silvia Beddar-Wiesing , Yannick Nagel , Rüdiger Nather , Josephine M. Thomas

Event Sequences (EvS) refer to sequential data characterized by irregular sampling intervals and a mix of categorical and numerical features. Accurate classification of these sequences is crucial for various real-life applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Dmitry Osin , Igor Udovichenko , Viktor Moskvoretskii , Egor Shvetsov , Evgeny Burnaev