English

ITPP: Learning Disentangled Event Dynamics in Marked Temporal Point Processes

Machine Learning 2025-11-11 v1 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events. However, most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode information from different event types into a single, fixed-size latent representation. This entanglement can obscure type-specific dynamics, leading to performance degradation and increased risk of overfitting. In this work, we introduce ITPP, a novel channel-independent architecture for MTPP modeling that decouples event type information using an encoder-decoder framework with an ODE-based backbone. Central to ITPP is a type-aware inverted self-attention mechanism, designed to explicitly model inter-channel correlations among heterogeneous event types. This architecture enhances effectiveness and robustness while reducing overfitting. Comprehensive experiments on multiple real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that ITPP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art MTPP models in both predictive accuracy and generalization.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.06032,
  title  = {ITPP: Learning Disentangled Event Dynamics in Marked Temporal Point Processes},
  author = {Wang-Tao Zhou and Zhao Kang and Ke Yan and Ling Tian},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.06032},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

Accepted to AAAI'26 Poster

R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:27:43.375Z