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We study statistical inference on unit roots and cointegration for time series in a Hilbert space. We develop statistical inference on the number of common stochastic trends embedded in the time series, i.e., the dimension of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Won-Ki Seo , Dakyung Seong

Change-point analysis is thriving in this big data era to address problems arising in many fields where massive data sequences are collected to study complicated phenomena over time. It plays an important role in processing these data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-23 Yi-Wei Liu , Hao Chen

In this study, we introduce the first-of-its-kind class of tests for detecting change points in the distribution of a sequence of independent matrix-valued random variables. The tests are constructed using the weighted square integral…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Žikica Lukić , Bojana Milošević

We consider an epidemic change-point detection in a large class of causal time series models, including among other processes, AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$), ARMA-GARCH. A test statistic based on the Gaussian quasi-maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

Changepoint analysis deals with unsupervised detection and/or estimation of time-points in time-series data, when the distribution generating the data changes. In this article, we consider \emph{offline} changepoint detection in the context…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Avinandan Bose , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

Two-sample hypothesis testing-determining whether two sets of data are drawn from the same distribution-is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning with broad scientific applications. In the context of nonparametric testing,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Antoine Chatalic , Marco Letizia , Nicolas Schreuder , Lorenzo Rosasco

We study inference on the common stochastic trends in a non-stationary, $N$-variate time series $y_{t}$, in the possible presence of heavy tails. We propose a novel methodology which does not require any knowledge or estimation of the tail…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-30 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Lorenzo Trapani

Detecting and locating changes in highly multivariate data is a major concern in several current statistical applications. In this context, the first contribution of the paper is a novel non-parametric two-sample homogeneity test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-13 Alexandre Lung-Yut-Fong , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Olivier Cappé

We study the problem of detecting change points (CPs) that are characterized by a subset of dimensions in a multi-dimensional sequence. A method for detecting those CPs can be formulated as a two-stage method: one for selecting relevant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Detecting the emergence of abrupt property changes in time series is a challenging problem. Kernel two-sample test has been studied for this task which makes fewer assumptions on the distributions than traditional parametric approaches.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-21 Wei-Cheng Chang , Chun-Liang Li , Yiming Yang , Barnabás Póczos

We study the problem of designing consistent sequential two-sample tests in a nonparametric setting. Guided by the principle of testing by betting, we reframe this task into that of selecting a sequence of payoff functions that maximize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

In multiple change-point problems, different data segments often follow different distributions, for which the changes may occur in the mean, scale or the entire distribution from one segment to another. Without the need to know the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Changliang Zou , Guosheng Yin , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

Detecting changepoints in datasets with many variates is a data science challenge of increasing importance. Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in the incidence of terrorism from a global terrorism database, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead

Measuring time means counting the occurrence of periodic phenomena. Over the past centuries a major effort was put to make stable and precise oscillators to be used as clock regulators. Here we consider a different class of clocks based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-20 Dario Cilluffo

This paper addresses the problem of change-point detection on sequences of high-dimensional and heterogeneous observations, which also possess a periodic temporal structure. Due to the dimensionality problem, when the time between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-25 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , David Ramírez , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We show how binary classification methods developed to work on i.i.d. data can be used for solving statistical problems that are seemingly unrelated to classification and concern highly-dependent time series. Specifically, the problems of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-10 Daniil Ryabko , Jérémie Mary

This paper explores methods for estimating or approximating the total variation distance and the chi-squared divergence of probability measures within topological sample spaces, using independent and identically distributed samples. Our…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Chong Xiao Wang , Wee Peng Tay

We propose a new class of sequential change point tests, both for changes in the mean parameter and in the overall distribution function. The methodology builds on a two-window inspection scheme (TWIN), which aggregates data into symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta