Epidemic change-point detection in general causal time series
Statistics Theory
2021-05-31 v1 Statistics Theory
Abstract
We consider an epidemic change-point detection in a large class of causal time series models, including among other processes, AR(), ARCH(), TARCH(), ARMA-GARCH. A test statistic based on the Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter is proposed. It is shown that, under the null hypothesis of no change, the test statistic converges to a distribution obtained from a difference of two Brownian bridge and diverges to infinity under the epidemic alternative. Numerical results for simulation and real data example are provided.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2105.13836,
title = {Epidemic change-point detection in general causal time series},
author = {Mamadou Lamine Diop and William Kengne},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2105.13836},
year = {2021}
}
Comments
arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2103.13336