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Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the drift function of a jump diffusion process $X$ computed from multiple independent copies of $X$ observed on $[0,T]$. Risk bounds are established on this estimator and on an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t), with drift function b, diffusion coefficient sigma and jump coefficient xi^{2}. This process is observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Emeline Schmisser

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Miljenko Huzak

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We consider non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the drift coefficient of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation from discrete-time observations on the solution of this equation. Under suitable regularity conditions that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

This paper deals with a copies-based continuously differentiable and strictly decreasing estimator of the drift function for stochastic differential equations defining recurrent diffusion processes. The first part of our paper deals with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Nicolas Marie

Non-parametric estimation of a convex discrete distribution may be of interest in several applications, such as the estimation of species abundance distribution in ecology. In this paper we study the least squares estimator of a discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-29 Cécile Durot , François Koladjo , Sylvie Huet , Stéphane Robin

The problem of diffusion in a porous medium with a spatially varying porosity is considered. The particular microstructure analyzed comprises a collection of impenetrable spheres, though the methods developed are general. Two different…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-12 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman

The mean square displacement and instantaneous diffusion coefficient for different configurations of charged particles in stochastic motion are calculated by numerically solving the associated equations of motion. The method is suitable for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Gabriela Raluca Mocanu

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie