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Data-driven emulation of nonlinear dynamics is challenging due to long-range skill decay that often produces physically unrealistic outputs. Recent advances in generative modeling aim to address these issues by providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Juan Nathaniel , Pierre Gentine

This contribution analyzes the widely used and well-known "intelligent driver model (briefly IDM), which is a second order car-following model governed by a system of ordinary differential equations. Although this model was intensively…

Many, if not most, systems of interest in science are naturally described as nonlinear dynamical systems. Empirically, we commonly access these systems through time series measurements. Often such time series may consist of discrete random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Manuel Brenner , Florian Hess , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

Accurate prediction of travel time is an essential feature to support Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). The non-linearity of traffic states, however, makes this prediction a challenging task. Here we propose to use dynamic linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Semin Kwak , Nikolas Geroliminis

Accurate trajectory prediction has long been a major challenge for autonomous driving (AD). Traditional data-driven models predominantly rely on statistical correlations, often overlooking the causal relationships that govern traffic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Bonan Wang , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Guyang Yu , Jiaxun Zhang , Songning Lai , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

Interactive decision-making is essential in applications such as autonomous driving, where the agent must infer the behavior of nearby human drivers while planning in real-time. Traditional predict-then-act frameworks are often insufficient…

Calibration or parameter identification is used with computational mechanics models related to observed data of the modeled process to find model parameters such that good similarity between model prediction and observation is achieved. We…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Harald Willmann , Jonas Nitzler , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Wolfgang A. Wall

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

In this work, we propose a novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression based on conditional diffusion models. Specifically, we construct a conditional diffusion model to learn the distribution of the response variable given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jinyuan Chang , Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Junjie Shi

As autonomous driving technology progresses, the need for precise trajectory prediction models becomes paramount. This paper introduces an innovative model that infuses cognitive insights into trajectory prediction, focusing on perceived…

Modeling an unknown dynamical system is crucial in order to predict the future behavior of the system. A standard approach is training recurrent models on measurement data. While these models typically provide exact short-term predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Katharina Ensinger , Sebastian Ziesche , Barbara Rakitsch , Michael Tiemann , Sebastian Trimpe

Recent efforts in the development of autonomous driving technology have induced great advancements in perception, planning and control systems. Model predictive control is one of the most popular advanced control methods, but its…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-17 Matheus Wagner , Julio E. Normey-Rico

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

In the era of intelligent transportation, driver behavior profiling has become a beneficial technology as it provides knowledge regarding the driver's aggressiveness. Previous approaches achieved promising driver behavior profiling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Young Ah Choi , Kyung Ho Park , Eunji Park , Huy Kang Kim

Adaptive cruise control systems are fundamental components of the automation of the driving. At upper control level, ACC systems are based on car-following models determining the acceleration rate of a vehicle according to the distance gap…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-13 Antoine Tordeux , Jean-Patrick Lebacque , Sylvain Lassarre

This paper presents a learning from demonstration approach to programming safe, autonomous behaviors for uncommon driving scenarios. Simulation is used to re-create a targeted driving situation, one containing a road-side hazard creating a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Priyam Parashar , Akansel Cosgun , Alireza Nakhaei , Kikuo Fujimura

The recent increase in data availability and reliability has led to a surge in the development of learning-based model predictive control (MPC) frameworks for robot systems. Despite attaining substantial performance improvements over their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Kong Yao Chee , Thales C. Silva , M. Ani Hsieh , George J. Pappas

Situational awareness in vehicular networks could be substantially improved utilizing reliable trajectory prediction methods. More precise situational awareness, in turn, results in notably better performance of critical safety…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Hossein Nourkhiz Mahjoub , Amin Tahmasbi-Sarvestani , Hadi Kazemi , Yaser P. Fallah

The Drift-Diffusion Model (DDM) is widely used in neuropsychological studies to understand the decision process by incorporating both reaction times and subjects' responses. Various models have been developed to estimate DDM parameters,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Zekai Jin , Yaakov Stern , Seonjoo Lee