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We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Constrained generative modeling is fundamental to applications such as robotic control and autonomous driving, where models must respect physical laws and safety-critical constraints. In real-world settings, these constraints rarely take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Xiaoxuan Liang , Saeid Naderiparizi , Yunpeng Liu , Berend Zwartsenberg , Frank Wood

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a vehicle dynamics model for predictive control in driving applications. Instead of solely using the instantaneous parameters estimated from the vehicle signals, we combine this with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Marcus Greiff , Ray Zhang , Takeru Shirasawa , John Subosits

Understanding the spatial dynamics of cars within urban systems is essential for optimizing infrastructure management and resource allocation. Recent empirical approaches for analyzing traffic patterns have gained traction due to their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Kangan Qian , Jinyu Miao , Xinyu Jiao , Ziang Luo , Zheng Fu , Yining Shi , Yunlong Wang , Kun Jiang , Diange Yang

Machine learning has emerged as a promising paradigm for enabling connected, automated vehicles to autonomously cruise the streets and react to unexpected situations. A key challenge, however, is to collect and select real-time and reliable…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Alaa Awad Abdellatif , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini , Francesco Malandrino

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Interpretation of common-yet-challenging interaction scenarios can benefit well-founded decisions for autonomous vehicles. Previous research achieved this using their prior knowledge of specific scenarios with predefined models, limiting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Chengyuan Zhang , Jiacheng Zhu , Wenshuo Wang , Junqiang Xi

Despite enormous progress in object detection and classification, the problem of incorporating expected contextual relationships among object instances into modern recognition systems remains a key challenge. In this work we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Ehsan Jahangiri , Erdem Yoruk , Rene Vidal , Laurent Younes , Donald Geman

Ensuring safe and human-like trajectory planning for automated vehicles amidst real-world uncertainties remains a critical challenge. While existing car-following models often struggle to consistently provide rigorous safety proofs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-16 Wen-Long Jin

In a given scenario, simultaneously and accurately predicting every possible interaction of traffic participants is an important capability for autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches focused on the prediction of an single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Yeping Hu , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Driver drowsiness detection (DDD) prevents road accidents caused by driver fatigue. Vehicle dynamics-based DDD has been proposed as a method that is both economical and high performance. However, there are concerns about the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yutaro Nakagama , Daisuke Ishii , Kazuki Yoshizoe

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

The adoption of deep learning across various fields has been extensive, yet there is a lack of focus on evaluating the performance of deep learning pipelines. Typically, with the increased use of large datasets and complex models, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Yewen Fan , Nian Si , Xiangchen Song , Kun Zhang

Model-form uncertainties in complex mechanics systems are a major obstacle for predictive simulations. Reducing these uncertainties is critical for stake-holders to make risk-informed decisions based on numerical simulations. For example,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-11 J. -L. Wu , J. -X. Wang , H. Xiao

Multiscale modeling of complex systems is crucial for understanding their intricacies. Data-driven multiscale modeling has emerged as a promising approach to tackle challenges associated with complex systems. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Ruyi Tao , Ningning Tao , Yi-zhuang You , Jiang Zhang

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

In this paper, we extend a framework that we developed earlier for coordination of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) at a signal-free intersection to incorporate uncertainty. Using the possibly noisy observations of actual time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Behdad Chalaki , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

We consider the problem of impulse response estimation of stable linear single-input single-output systems. It is a well-studied problem where flexible non-parametric models recently offered a leap in performance compared to the classical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Carl Andersson , Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön

Dynamic models of the battery performance are an essential tool throughout the development process of automotive drive trains. The present study introduces a method making a large data set suitable for modeling the electrical impedance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Philipp Gesner , Christian Gletter , Florian Landenberger , Frank Kirschbaum , Lutz Morawietz , Bernard Bäker
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