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Inferring how an epidemic will progress and what actions to take when presented with limited information is of critical importance for epidemiologists and health professionals. In real world settings, epidemiology data can be scarce or…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Georgios Efstathiadis

Poor air quality has become an increasingly critical challenge for many metropolitan cities, which carries many catastrophicphysical and mental consequences on human health and quality of life. However, accurately monitoring and forecasting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Qi Zhang , Jacqueline CK Lam , Victor OK Li , Yang Han

Despite an extensive literature has been devoted to mine and model mobility features, forecasting where, when and whom people will encounter/colocate still deserve further research efforts. Forecasting people's encounter and colocation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-07 Karim Karamat Jahromi , Matteo Zignani , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi

Air quality is closely related to public health. Health issues such as cardiovascular diseases and respiratory diseases, may have connection with long exposure to highly polluted environment. Therefore, accurate air quality forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Haolin Fei , Xiaofeng Wu , Chunbo Luo

We present a convolution-based data assimilation method tailored to neuronal electrophysiology, addressing the limitations of traditional value-based synchronization approaches. While conventional methods rely on nudging terms and pointwise…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Dawei Li , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

To represent the complex individual interactions in the dynamics of disease spread informed by data, the coupling of an epidemiological agent-based model with the ensemble Kalman filter is proposed. The statistical inference of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Juan Aparicio , Juan Ruiz , Ignacio Simoy , Santiago Rosa

Accurate wind speed forecasting is of great importance for many economic, business and management sectors. This paper introduces a new model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for wind speed prediction tasks. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Kevin Trebing , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Epidemiological forecasting from surveillance data is a hard problem and hybridizing mechanistic compartmental models with neural models is a natural direction. The mechanistic structure helps keep trajectories epidemiologically plausible,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Yiqi Su , Ray Lee , Jiaming Cui , Naren Ramakrishnan

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

Data-driven prediction and physics-agnostic machine-learning methods have attracted increased interest in recent years achieving forecast horizons going well beyond those to be expected for chaotic dynamical systems. In a separate strand of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

The paper introduces a novel topological method for prediction and modeling for a nonlinear time--series that exhibit recurring patterns. According to the model, global manifold of the reconstructed state--space can be approximated by a few…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-21 Sajini Anand P S , Prabhakar G Vaidya

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

The customizable nature of deep learning models have allowed them to be successful predictors in various disciplines. These models are often trained with respect to thousands or millions of instances for complicated problems, but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Drimik Roy Chowdhury , Muhammad Firmansyah Kasim

The widespread availability of electronic health records (EHRs) promises to usher in the era of personalized medicine. However, the problem of extracting useful clinical representations from longitudinal EHR data remains challenging. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Zhengping Che , Yu Cheng , Zhaonan Sun , Yan Liu

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro

Data-driven emulators are increasingly being used to learn and emulate physics-based simulations, reducing computational expense and run time. Here, we present a structured way to improve the quality of these high-dimensional emulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Nawid Keshtmand , Elena Fillola , Jeffrey Nicholas Clark , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Matthew Rigby

Minimizing response times is crucial for emergency medical services to reduce patients' waiting times and to increase their survival rates. Many models exist to optimize operational tasks such as ambulance allocation and dispatching.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Maximiliane Rautenstrauß , Maximilian Schiffer

In this work we evaluate the applicability of an ensemble of population models and machine learning models to predict the near future evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a particular use case in Spain. We rely solely in open and public…

Epidemic propagation on networks represents an important departure from traditional massaction models. However, the high-dimensionality of the exact models poses a challenge to both mathematical analysis and parameter inference. By using…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-07 István Z. Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh

Smartphones and other mobile devices are today pervasive across the globe. As an interesting side effect of the surge in mobile communications, mobile network operators can now easily collect a wealth of high-resolution data on the habits…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Ghazaleh Khodabandelou , Vincent Gauthier , Mounim A. El-Yacoubi , Marco Fiore
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