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Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

The limits of the nuclear landscape are determined by nuclear binding energies. Beyond the proton drip lines, where the separation energy becomes negative, there is not enough binding energy to prevent protons from escaping the nucleus.…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-29 Léo Neufcourt , Yuchen Cao , Samuel Giuliani , Witold Nazarewicz , Erik Olsen , Oleg B. Tarasov

With the development of novel therapies such as molecularly targeted agents and immunotherapy, the maximum tolerated dose paradigm that "more is better" does not necessarily hold anymore. In this context, doses and schedules of novel…

Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for pancreatic cancer requires a skillful approach to deliver ablative doses to the tumor while limiting dose to the highly sensitive duodenum, stomach, and small bowel. Here, we develop…

Accurate prediction of fragmentation cross sections is essential for rare-isotope beam production, planning new-isotope searches, and designing experiments to study the most exotic regions of the nuclear chart. However, existing reaction…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2026-03-12 O. B. Tarasov

Model-assisted designs have garnered significant attention in recent years due to their high accuracy in identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and their operational simplicity. To identify the MTD, they employ estimated dose limiting…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-19 Rentaro Wakayama , Tomotaka Momozaki , Shuji Ando

An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

Decision-guided perspectives on model uncertainty expand traditional statistical thinking about managing, comparing and combining inferences from sets of models. Bayesian predictive decision synthesis (BPDS) advances conceptual and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Emily Tallman , Mike West

In this paper, we study porous media flows in heterogeneous stochastic media. We propose an efficient forward simulation technique that is tailored for variational Bayesian inversion. As a starting point, the proposed forward simulation…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-12 Keren Yang , Nilabja Guha , Yalchin Efendiev , Bani K. Mallick

We give a scenario-based treatment plan optimization formulation that is equivalent to planning with geometric margins if the scenario doses are calculated using the static dose cloud approximation. If the scenario doses are instead…

Medical Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Albin Fredriksson , Rasmus Bokrantz

Purpose: Various dose calculation algorithms are available for radiation therapy for cancer patients. However, these algorithms are faced with the tradeoff between efficiency and accuracy. The fast algorithms are generally less accurate,…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-07-01 Yixun Xing , Dan Nguyen , Weiguo Lu , Ming Yang , Steve Jiang

In this work we develop and implement a novel Bayesian method for computing the DOS of a system. This method is based on the use of a test function with adjustable parameters and we use Bayes theorem to find the best parameters given a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-28 Felipe Moreno , Sergio Davis , Joaquín Peralta

We present a novel framework combining Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets) with Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) and estimate their unknown parameters. By integrating data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Amogh Raj , Carol Eunice Gudumotou , Sakol Bun , Keerthana Srinivasa , Arash Sarshar

Fast and accurate dose predictions are one of the bottlenecks in treatment planning for microbeam radiation therapy (MRT). In this paper, we propose a machine learning (ML) model based on a 3D U-Net. Our approach predicts separately the…

When treating moving tumors, the precise delivery of proton therapy by pencil beam scanning (PBS) is challenged by the interplay effect. Although several 4D-optimization methods have been proposed, what is the most beneficial motion…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-01-29 Ivar Bengtsson , Anders Forsgren , Albin Fredriksson

Statistical methodology for the design and analysis of clinical Phase II dose response studies, with related software implementation, are well developed for the case of a normally distributed, homoscedastic response considered for a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 José Pinheiro , Björn Bornkamp , Ekkehard Glimm , Frank Bretz

We describe a novel scheme for analyzing particle detector measurements when a well-calibrated, similarly instrumented spacecraft is present in a similar orbit. To prepare ground truth from measurements provided by a reference spacecraft,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-27 Lidiya Ahmed , Michael L Stevens , Kristoff Paulson , Anthony W Case , Samuel T. Badman

Dose verification based on proton-induced positron emitters is a promising quality assurance tool and may leverage the strength of artificial intelligence. To move a step closer towards practical application, the sensitivity analysis of two…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-12-23 Shixiong Yu , Yuxiang Liu , Zongsheng Hu , Haozhao Zhang , Pengyu Qi , Hao Peng

The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett
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