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Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

An essential problem in domain adaptation is to understand and make use of distribution changes across domains. For this purpose, we first propose a flexible Generative Domain Adaptation Network (G-DAN) with specific latent variables to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Mingming Gong , Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang , Clark Glymour , Dacheng Tao , Kayhan Batmanghelich

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

With the growing availability of multi-domain time series data, there is an increasing demand for general forecasting models pre-trained on multi-source datasets to support diverse downstream prediction scenarios. Existing time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

In this paper, we present SSDNet, a novel deep learning approach for time series forecasting. SSDNet combines the Transformer architecture with state space models to provide probabilistic and interpretable forecasts, including trend and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Yang Lin , Irena Koprinska , Mashud Rana

Existing deep learning-based change detection methods try to elaborately design complicated neural networks with powerful feature representations, but ignore the universal domain shift induced by time-varying land cover changes, including…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Jia Liu , Wenjie Xuan , Yuhang Gan , Juhua Liu , Bo Du

Sensor drift is a long-existing unpredictable problem that deteriorates the performance of gaseous substance recognition, calling for an antidrift domain adaptation algorithm. However, the prerequisite for traditional methods to achieve…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-29 Yuelin Zhang , Sihao Xiang , Zehuan Wang , Xiaoyan Peng , Yutong Tian , Shukai Duan , Jia Yan

District Heating Systems are essential infrastructure for delivering heat to consumers across a geographic region sustainably, yet efficient management relies on optimizing diverse energy sources, such as wood, gas, electricity, and solar,…

End-to-end data-driven machine learning methods often have exuberant requirements in terms of quality and quantity of training data which are often impractical to fulfill in real-world applications. This is specifically true in time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Muhammad Ali Chattha , Ludger van Elst , Muhammad Imran Malik , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Long-term forecasting presents unique challenges due to the time and memory complexity of handling long sequences. Existing methods, which rely on sliding windows to process long sequences, struggle to effectively capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Junwoo Park , Daehoon Gwak , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

Adversarial attack transferability is well-recognized in deep learning. Prior work has partially explained transferability by recognizing common adversarial subspaces and correlations between decision boundaries, but little is known beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Christopher Wiedeman , Ge Wang

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Time series forecasting often demands a trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. While recent Transformer models have improved forecasting capabilities, they come with high computational costs. Linear-based models have shown better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Ahmad Mohammadshirazi , Pinaki Prasad Guha Neogi , Rajiv Ramnath

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is a paramount and fundamental problem in many real-world applications. The core issue in MTS forecasting is how to effectively model complex spatial-temporal patterns. In this paper, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Du Yin , Yi Yang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Feature engineering is required to obtain better results for time series forecasting, and decomposition is a crucial one. One decomposition approach often cannot be used for numerous forecasting tasks since the standard time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Liwang Zhou , Jing Gao

Recently, deep neural networks have gained increasing popularity in the field of time series forecasting. A primary reason for their success is their ability to effectively capture complex temporal dynamics across multiple related time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Xiaoyong Jin , Youngsuk Park , Danielle C. Maddix , Hao Wang , Yuyang Wang

For hourly PM2.5 concentration prediction, accurately capturing the data patterns of external factors that affect PM2.5 concentration changes, and constructing a forecasting model is one of efficient means to improve forecasting accuracy.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-08 Fuxin Jiang , Chengyuan Zhang , Shaolong Sun , Jingyun Sun

Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Smit Marvaniya , Jitendra Singh , Nicolas Galichet , Fred Ochieng Otieno , Geeth De Mel , Kommy Weldemariam

The prediction of periodical time-series remains challenging due to various types of data distortions and misalignments. Here, we propose a novel model called Temporal embedding-enhanced convolutional neural Network (TeNet) to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jiajun Liu , Kun Zhao , Brano Kusy , Ji-rong Wen , Raja Jurdak