English
Related papers

Related papers: On the exact survival probability by setting discr…

200 papers

In this paper, we consider the maximization of a probability $\mathbb{P}\{ \zeta \mid \zeta \in \mathbf{K}(\mathbf x)\}$ over a closed and convex set $\mathcal X$, a special case of the chance-constrained optimization problem. We define…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Ibrahim E. Bardakci , Afrooz Jalilzadeh , Constantino Lagoa , Uday V. Shanbhag

A new class of integer-valued autoregressive models with dynamic survival probability is proposed. The peculiarity of this class of models lies on the specification of the survival probability through a stochastic recurrence equation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-08 Paolo Gorgi

An accurate model of a patient's individual survival distribution can help determine the appropriate treatment for terminal patients. Unfortunately, risk scores (e.g., from Cox Proportional Hazard models) do not provide survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Humza Haider , Bret Hoehn , Sarah Davis , Russell Greiner

We study the distribution of dynamical quantities in various one-dimensional, disordered models the critical behavior of which is described by an infinite randomness fixed point. In the {\it disordered contact process}, the quenched…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-18 Róbert Juhász

We prove that a large class of discrete-time insurance surplus processes converge weakly to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, under a suitable re-normalization and when the time-step goes to 0. Motivated by ruin theory, we use this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Yuchao Dong , Jérôme Spielmann

We present an exact derivation of the survival probability of a randomly accelerated particle subject to partial absorption at the origin. We determine the persistence exponent and the amplitude associated to the decay of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 G. De Smedt , C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution generated by Lindley random variable which offers a more flexible model for modelling lifetime data. Various statistical properties like distribution function, survival function, moments,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-25 Deepesh Bhati , Mohd. Aamir Malik

A high order expansion of the renewal function is provided under the assumption that the inter-renewal time distribution is light tailed with finite moment generating function g on a neighborhood of 0. This expansion relies on complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Clément Dombry , Landy Rabehasaina

Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan

This paper is a collection of recent results on discrete-time and continuous-time branching random walks. Some results are new and others are known. Many aspects of this theory are considered: local, global and strong local survival, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

Let X and Y be two independent and nonnegative random variables with corresponding distributions F and G. Denote by H the distribution of the product XY , called the product convolution of F and G. Cline and Samorodnitsky (1994) proposed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng , Yuebao Wang , Dongya Cheng

Let g : $\Omega$ = [0, 1] d $\rightarrow$ R denote a Lipschitz function that can be evaluated at each point, but at the price of a heavy computational time. Let X stand for a random variable with values in $\Omega$ such that one is able to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Lucie Bernard , Albert Cohen , Arnaud Guyader , Florent Malrieu

In this article, we present several formulas that make it easier to compute the net single premiums when the mortality force over the fractional ages is assumed to be constant (C). More precisely, we compute the moments of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Andrius Grigutis , Laurynas Lukoševičius , Mindaugas Venckevičius

Causal inference with time-to-event outcomes is fundamental in various scientific studies. In a static setup with fitted propensity scores, weighted Kaplan-Meier estimation for survival probabilities and weighted Breslow-Peto estimation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Wenfu Xu , Yi Zhang , Tobias Gerhard , Zhiqiang Tan

The present article studies survival analytic aspects of semiparametric copula dependence models with arbitrary univariate marginals. The underlying survival functions admit a representation via exponent measures which have an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-25 Jens Bendel , Dennis Dobler , Arnold Janssen

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

The continuous linear $P(k; N, w)$ and circular scan statistics $P_c(k; N, w)$ are fundamental tools in probability and spatial statistics, frequently used to detect clustering in uniform data. Let $X_1, X_2, \dots, X_N$ be independently…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Haowei Yuan

This paper studies proportional risk sharing at claim occurrence time in community-based insurance. Each participant is modeled by an individual Cram\'er-Lundberg surplus process, and, whenever a claim is reported within the pool, its cost…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Michel Denuit , José Miguel Flores-Contró , Christian Y. Robert

We calculate the survival probability of a diffusing test particle in an environment of diffusing particles that undergo coagulation at rate lambda_c and annihilation at rate lambda_a. The test particle dies at rate lambda' on coming into…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Rajesh , Oleg Zaboronski