Related papers: On the exact survival probability by setting discr…
The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.
We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…
We find the optimal indemnity to minimize the probability of ruin when premium is calculated according to the distortion premium principle with a proportional risk load, and admissible indemnities are such that both the indemnity and…
Generating function equation has been derived for the probability distribution of the number of nodes with $k \ge 0$ outgoing lines in randomly evolving special trees. The stochastic properties of end-nodes (k=0) have been analyzed, and it…
We perform a thorough analysis of the survival probability of symmetric random walks with stochastic resetting, defined as the probability for the walker not to cross the origin up to time $n$. For continuous symmetric distributions of step…
We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…
We derive computational formulas for the generalized Choquet integral based on the novel survival function introduced by M. Boczek et al. [1]. We demonstrate its usefulness on the Knapsack problem and the problem of accommodation options.…
Recently, different dispersion strategies in population models subject to geometric catastrophes have been considered as strategies to improve the chance of po\-pu\-lation's survival. Such dispersion strategies have been contrasted with the…
Proper econometric analysis should be informed by data structure. Many forms of financial data are recorded in discrete-time and relate to products of a finite term. If the data comes from a financial trust, it will often be further subject…
Discrete distributions derived from renewal processes, ie distributions of the number of events by some time t are beginning to be used in econometrics and health sciences. A new fast method is presented for computation of the probabilities…
In this paper we consider the finite time minimum survival probability and ultimate minimum survival probability in a two ? dimensional risk modal perturbed by diffusion Using some properties of the minimum survival probability we obtain…
Theoretical inverse problems are often studied in an ideal infinite-dimensional setting. The well-posedness theory provides a unique reconstruction of the parameter function, when an infinite amount of data is given. Through the lens of…
Let $(X,Y)$ be a random couple in $S\times T$ with unknown distribution $P$ and $(X_1,Y_1),...,(X_n,Y_n)$ be i.i.d. copies of $(X,Y).$ Denote $P_n$ the empirical distribution of $(X_1,Y_1),...,(X_n,Y_n).$ Let $h_1,...,h_N:S\mapsto [-1,1]$…
Let $X$ be a real valued random variable with an unbounded distribution $F$ and let $Y$ be a nonnegative valued random variable with a unbounded distribution $G$, which satisfy that \begin{eqnarray*} P(X>x|Y=y)\sim h(y)P(X>x)…
We represent the product of two correlated normal random variables, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables, as a difference of two independent noncentral chi-square random variables (which we refer to as…
In this note, we revisit the recent work of Diakonikolas, Gouleakis, Kane, Peebles, and Price (2021), and provide an alternative proof of their main result. Our argument does not rely on any specific property of Poisson random variables…
We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…
A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and branching processes. In particular, for the branching process $Z_n$ with offspring distribution $Y$, there exists a random variable $X$…
We consider a one-dimensional run-and-tumble particle, or persistent random walk, in the presence of an absorbing boundary located at the origin. After each tumbling event, which occurs at a constant rate $\gamma$, the (new) velocity of the…
Extended cure survival models enable to separate covariates that affect the probability of an event (or `long-term' survival) from those only affecting the event timing (or `short-term' survival). We propose to generalize the bounded…