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We develop a methodology for detecting asset bubbles using a neural network. We rely on the theory of local martingales in continuous-time and use a deep network to estimate the diffusion coefficient of the price process more accurately…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-18 Oksana Bashchenko , Alexis Marchal

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

Bidding in real-time auctions can be a difficult stochastic control task; especially if underdelivery incurs strong penalties and the market is very uncertain. Most current works and implementations focus on optimally delivering a campaign…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Nicolas Grislain , Nicolas Perrin , Antoine Thabault

This paper studies deep neural networks for solving extremely large linear systems arising from highdimensional problems. Because of the curse of dimensionality, it is expensive to store both the solution and right-hand side vector in such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Yiqi Gu , Michael K. Ng

Neural networks based on metric recognition methods have a strictly determined architecture. Number of neurons, connections, as well as weights and thresholds values are calculated analytically, based on the initial conditions of tasks:…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Polad Geidarov

Financial networks help firms manage risk but also enable financial shocks to spread. Despite their importance, existing models of financial networks have several limitations. Prior works often consider a static network with a simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Akhil Jalan , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Purnamrita Sarkar

An arbitrage strategy allows a financial agent to make certain profit out of nothing, i.e., out of zero initial investment. This has to be disallowed on economic basis if the market is in equilibrium state, as opportunities for riskless…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-16 Constantinos Kardaras

Training a classifier under non-convex constraints has gotten increasing attention in the machine learning community thanks to its wide range of applications such as algorithmic fairness and class-imbalanced classification. However, several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-31 You-Lin Chen , Zhaoran Wang , Mladen Kolar

In a model free discrete time financial market, we prove the superhedging duality theorem, where trading is allowed with dynamic and semi-static strategies. We also show that the initial cost of the cheapest portfolio that dominates a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-03 Matteo Burzoni , Marco Frittelli , Marco Maggis

We give characterizations of asymptotic arbitrage of the first and second kind and of strong asymptotic arbitrage for large financial markets with small proportional transaction costs $\la_n$ on market $n$ in terms of contiguity properties…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-05 Irene Klein , Emmanuel Lepinette , Lavinia Ostafe

We study neural networks as nonparametric estimation tools for the hedging of options. To this end, we design a network, named HedgeNet, that directly outputs a hedging strategy. This network is trained to minimise the hedging error instead…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Johannes Ruf , Weiguan Wang

We study financial systems from a game-theoretic standpoint. A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to firms, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between them. The existence of cycles in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

This work theoretically studies stochastic neural networks, a main type of neural network in use. We prove that as the width of an optimized stochastic neural network tends to infinity, its predictive variance on the training set decreases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Liu Ziyin , Hanlin Zhang , Xiangming Meng , Yuting Lu , Eric Xing , Masahito Ueda

Neural networks are usually not the tool of choice for nonparametric high-dimensional problems where the number of input features is much larger than the number of observations. Though neural networks can approximate complex multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-25 Jean Feng , Noah Simon

The history of deep learning has shown that human-designed problem-specific networks can greatly improve the classification performance of general neural models. In most practical cases, however, choosing the optimal architecture for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Nicolo Colombo , Yang Gao

In this thesis, we develop a comprehensive account of the expressive power, modelling efficiency, and performance advantages of so-called trading agents (i.e., Deep Soft Recurrent Q-Network (DSRQN) and Mixture of Score Machines (MSM)),…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 Angelos Filos

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

We propose a neural network approach to price EU call options that significantly outperforms some existing pricing models and comes with guarantees that its predictions are economically reasonable. To achieve this, we introduce a class of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-30 Yongxin Yang , Yu Zheng , Timothy M. Hospedales

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

Machine learning is increasingly prevalent in stock market trading. Though neural networks have seen success in computer vision and natural language processing, they have not been as useful in stock market trading. To demonstrate the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Abhinav Madahar , Yuze Ma , Kunal Patel