English

Gated Neural Networks for Option Pricing: Rationality by Design

Computational Finance 2020-03-30 v3 Machine Learning Pricing of Securities

Abstract

We propose a neural network approach to price EU call options that significantly outperforms some existing pricing models and comes with guarantees that its predictions are economically reasonable. To achieve this, we introduce a class of gated neural networks that automatically learn to divide-and-conquer the problem space for robust and accurate pricing. We then derive instantiations of these networks that are 'rational by design' in terms of naturally encoding a valid call option surface that enforces no arbitrage principles. This integration of human insight within data-driven learning provides significantly better generalisation in pricing performance due to the encoded inductive bias in the learning, guarantees sanity in the model's predictions, and provides econometrically useful byproduct such as risk neutral density.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1609.07472,
  title  = {Gated Neural Networks for Option Pricing: Rationality by Design},
  author = {Yongxin Yang and Yu Zheng and Timothy M. Hospedales},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1609.07472},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

Accepted to AAAI 2017. 7 pages, 5 figures