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Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

In real-world applications, the limited availability of labeled outcomes presents significant challenges for statistical inference due to high collection costs, technical barriers, and other constraints. In this work, we propose a method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Menghan Yi , Yanlin Tang , Huixia Judy Wang

As neural networks are increasingly being applied to real-world applications, mechanisms to address distributional shift and sequential task learning without forgetting are critical. Methods incorporating network expansion have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Vinay Kumar Verma , Kevin J Liang , Nikhil Mehta , Piyush Rai , Lawrence Carin

Machine learning systems are deployed in critical settings, but they might fail in unexpected ways, impacting the accuracy of their predictions. Poisoning attacks against machine learning induce adversarial modification of data used by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Matthew Jagielski , Giorgio Severi , Niklas Pousette Harger , Alina Oprea

We give a method for proactively identifying small, plausible shifts in distribution which lead to large differences in model performance. These shifts are defined via parametric changes in the causal mechanisms of observed variables, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Nikolaj Thams , Michael Oberst , David Sontag

In many machine learning for healthcare tasks, standard datasets are constructed by amassing data across many, often fundamentally dissimilar, sources. But when does adding more data help, and when does it hinder progress on desired model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Judy Hanwen Shen , Inioluwa Deborah Raji , Irene Y. Chen

While domain adaptation methods address data shifts, most assume target populations align with at least one source population, neglecting mixtures that combine sources influenced by factors like demographics. Additional challenges in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Keyao Zhan , Xin Xiong , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai , Molei Liu

In modern machine learning applications, frequent encounters of covariate shift and label scarcity have posed challenges to robust model training and evaluation. Numerous transfer learning methods have been developed to robustly adapt the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Linshanshan Wang , Xuan Wang , Katherine P. Liao , Tianxi Cai

Quantification learning deals with the task of estimating the target label distribution under label shift. In this paper, we first present a unifying framework, distribution feature matching (DFM), that recovers as particular instances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Bastien Dussap , Gilles Blanchard , Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

Integrating probability and non-probability samples is increasingly important, yet unknown sampling mechanisms in non-probability sources complicate identification and efficient estimation. We develop semiparametric theory for dual-frame…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Kosuke Morikawa , Jae Kwang Kim

Transfer learning enhances prediction accuracy on a target distribution by leveraging data from a source distribution, demonstrating significant benefits in various applications. This paper introduces a novel dissimilarity measure that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 Mitsuhiro Fujikawa , Yohei Akimoto , Jun Sakuma , Kazuto Fukuchi

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

In practical machine learning, the environments encountered during the model development and deployment phases often differ, especially when a model is used by many users in diverse settings. Learning models that maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Hiroyuki Hanada , Satoshi Akahane , Noriaki Hashimoto , Shion Takeno , Ichiro Takeuchi

Distribution shift between the training domain and the test domain poses a key challenge for modern machine learning. An extensively studied instance is the \emph{covariate shift}, where the marginal distribution of covariates differs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Jeonghwan Lee , Cong Ma

The subpopulationtion shift, characterized by a disparity in subpopulation distributibetween theween the training and target datasets, can significantly degrade the performance of machine learning models. Current solutions to subpopulation…

Ensuring generalization to unseen environments remains a challenge. Domain shift can lead to substantially degraded performance unless shifts are well-exercised within the available training environments. We introduce a simple robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Yilun Xu , Tommi Jaakkola

In many modern applications, a carefully designed primary study provides individual-level data for interpretable modeling, while summary-level external information is available through black-box, efficient, and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Chi-Shian Dai , Jun Shao

We consider the setting of distributed empirical risk minimization where multiple machines compute the gradients in parallel and a centralized server updates the model parameters. In order to reduce the number of communications required to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Hadrien Hendrikx , Lin Xiao , Sebastien Bubeck , Francis Bach , Laurent Massoulie

This paper studies the prediction of a target $\mathbf{z}$ from a pair of random variables $(\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y})$, where the ground-truth predictor is additive $\mathbb{E}[\mathbf{z} \mid \mathbf{x},\mathbf{y}] = f_\star(\mathbf{x})…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Max Simchowitz , Anurag Ajay , Pulkit Agrawal , Akshay Krishnamurthy

The success of Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) in language model alignment is critically dependent on the capability of the reward model (RM). However, as the training process progresses, the output distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Shihan Dou , Yan Liu , Enyu Zhou , Tianlong Li , Haoxiang Jia , Limao Xiong , Xin Zhao , Junjie Ye , Rui Zheng , Tao Gui , Qi Zhang , Xuanjing Huang