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Higher order risk measures are stochastic optimization problems by design, and for this reason they enjoy valuable properties in optimization under uncertainties. They nicely integrate with stochastic optimization problems, as has been…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Alois Pichler

Expected Shortfall (ES) in several variants has been proposed as remedy for the defi-ciencies of Value-at-Risk (VaR) which in general is not a coherent risk measure. In fact, most definitions of ES lead to the same results when applied to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Carlo Acerbi , Dirk Tasche

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Mihaela-Adriana Nistor , Ionel Popescu

Volatility, as a primary indicator of financial risk, forms the foundation of classical frameworks such as Markowitz's Portfolio Theory and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). However, its conventional use rests on assumptions-most…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini , Massimiliano Frezza , Augusto Pianese

The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes. The central limit theorem and functional central limit theorem are obtained for martingale like random variables under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Li-Xin Zhang

We study treatment effect estimation with functional treatments where the average potential outcome functional is a function of functions, in contrast to continuous treatment effect estimation where the target is a function of real numbers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Jiayi Wang , Raymond K. W. Wong , Xiaoke Zhang , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

The stochastic leverage effect, defined as the standardized covariation between the returns and their related volatility, is analyzed in a stochastic volatility model set-up. A novel estimator of the effect is defined using a pre-estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Imma Valentina Curato , Simona Sanfelici

Risk sensitive decision making finds important applications in current day use cases. Existing risk measures consider a single or finite collection of random variables, which do not account for the asymptotic behaviour of underlying…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Shivam Patel , Vivek Borkar

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-12 Marius Hofert , Wayne Oldford , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

To explore the limits of a stochastic gradient method, it may be useful to consider an example consisting of an infinite number of quadratic functions. In this context, it is appropriate to determine the expected value and the covariance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Melinda Hagedorn

Functional quantile regression (FQR) is a useful alternative to mean regression for functional data as it provides a comprehensive understanding of how scalar predictors influence the conditional distribution of functional responses. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Yusha Liu , Meng Li , Jeffrey S. Morris

The standard approach to risk-averse control is to use the Exponential Utility (EU) functional, which has been studied for several decades. Like other risk-averse utility functionals, EU encodes risk aversion through an increasing convex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-08 Kevin M. Smith , Margaret P. Chapman

Systemic risk measures were introduced to capture the global risk and the corresponding contagion effects that is generated by an interconnected system of financial institutions. To this purpose, two approaches were suggested. In the first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Sarah Kaakai , Anis Matoussi , Achraf Tamtalini

We present the Shortfall Deviation Risk (SDR), a risk measure that represents the expected loss that occurs with certain probability penalized by the dispersion of results that are worse than such an expectation. SDR combines Expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Paulo Sergio Ceretta

Recently, authors have studied inequalities involving expectations of selected functions viz. failure rate, mean residual life, aging intensity function and log-odds rate which are defined for left truncated random variables in reliability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Chanchal Kundu , Amit Ghosh

In this paper, we present an approach for estimating significant financial metrics within risk management by utilizing quantum phenomena for random number generation. We explore Quantum-Enhanced Monte Carlo, a method that combines…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Emanuele Dri , Achille Yomi , Muthumanimaran Vetrivelan , Cedric Kuassivi , Ivàn Diego Exposito

Our goal in this paper is to propose an alternative risk measure which takes into account the fluctuations of losses and possible correlations between random variables. This new notion of risk measures, that we call Copula Conditional Tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Brahim Brahimi

The celebrated Expected Shortfall (ES) optimization formula implies that ES at a fixed probability level is the minimum of a linear real function plus a scaled mean excess function. We establish a reverse ES optimization formula, which says…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Yuanying Guan , Zhanyi Jiao , Ruodu Wang

We introduce new forecast encompassing tests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES). The ES currently receives much attention through its introduction into the Basel III Accords, which stipulate its use as the primary market risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 Timo Dimitriadis , Julie Schnaitmann