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This paper features expectiles in dynamic and stochastic optimization. Expectiles are a family of risk functionals characterized as minimizers of optimization problems. For this reason, they enjoy various unique stability properties, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Rajmadan Lakshmanan , Alois Pichler

We propose forecast encompassing tests for the Expected Shortfall (ES) jointly with the Value at Risk (VaR) based on flexible link (or combination) functions. Our setup allows testing encompassing for convex forecast combinations and for…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-17 Timo Dimitriadis , Xiaochun Liu , Julie Schnaitmann

This paper is devoted to the introduction and study of a new family of multivariate elicitable risk measures. We call the obtained vector-valued measures multivariate expectiles. We present the different approaches used to construct our…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Saïd

Expectiles were introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) in the context of linear regression models. Recently, Bellini et al. (2014) revealed that expectiles can also be seen as reasonable law-invariant risk measures. In this article, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Volker Krätschmer , Henryk Zähle

In the present paper we investigate the predictive risk of possibly misspecified quantile regression functions. The in-sample risk is well-known to be an overly optimistic estimate of the predictive risk and we provide two relatively simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Alexander Giessing , Xuming He

Quantiles and expected shortfalls are commonly used risk measures in financial risk management. The two measurements are correlated while have distinguished features. In this project, our primary goal is to develop stable and practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Xiang Peng , Huixia Judy Wang

This paper proposes a new approach to estimating the distribution of a response variable conditioned on observing some factors. The proposed approach possesses desirable properties of flexibility, interpretability, tractability and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Cheng Peng , Stanislav Uryasev

The frequency response function (FRF) is an established way to describe the outcome of experiments in posture control literature. The FRF is an empirical transfer function between an input stimulus and the induced body segment sway profile,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Vittorio Lippi

Although quantile regression to calculate risk measures has been widely established in the financial literature, when considering data observed at mixed--frequency, an extension is needed. In this paper, a model is suggested built on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Vincenzo Candila , Giampiero M. Gallo , Lea Petrella

Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR) measure is a convenient coherent risk measure. Due to certain difficulties in finding its analytical representation, it was previously calculated explicitly only for the normal distribution. We succeeded to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Petro Zelenko , Volodymyr Zubchenko

Expectiles define the only law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure apart from the expectation. The popularity of expectile-based risk measures is steadily growing and their properties have been studied for independent data, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 Anthony C. Davison , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Expectile, as the minimizer of an asymmetric quadratic loss function, is a coherent risk measure and is helpful to use more information about the distribution of the considered risk. In this paper, we propose a new risk measure by replacing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Qian Xiong , Zuoxiang Peng

Expectiles are statistical parameters which also provide a class of sublinear risk measures in finance. They are solutions of continuous optimization problems. The corresponding first order condition provides two different fixed point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Thi Khanh Linh Ha , Andreas Heinrich Hamel , Daniel Kostner

A diversification quotient (DQ) quantifies diversification in stochastic portfolio models based on a family of risk measures. We study DQ based on expectiles, offering a useful alternative to conventional risk measures such as Value-at-Risk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-28 Xia Han , Liyuan Lin , Hao Wang , Ruodu Wang

This paper establishes the functional average as an important estimand for causal inference. The significance of the estimand lies in its robustness against traditional issues of confounding. We prove that this robustness holds even when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Shane Sparkes , Erika Garcia , Lu Zhang

An extended quadratic function is a quadratic function plus the indicator function of an affine set, that is, a quadratic function with embedded linear equality constraints. We show that, under some technical conditions, random convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-02 Shane Barratt , Stephen Boyd

The frequency response function (FRF) is a typical way to describe the outcome of experiments where posture control is perturbed with an external stimulus. The FRF is an empirical transfer function between an input stimulus and the induced…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-02 Vittorio Lippi

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

Fractional cumulative residual inaccuracy (FCRI) measure allows to determine regions of discrepancy between systems, depending on their respective fractional and chaotic map parameters. Most of the theoretical results and applications…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-25 Iona Ann Sebastian , S. M. Sunoj

Financial institutions have to allocate so-called "economic capital" in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a "risk measure", i.e. a function…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-08-09 Dirk Tasche