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This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Automatic cubatures approximate integrals to user-specified error tolerances. For high dimensional problems, it is difficult to adaptively change the sampling pattern to focus on peaks because peaks can hide more easily in high dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

Gradual numbers have been introduced recently as a means of extending standard interval computation methods to fuzzy intervals. The literature treats monotonic functions of fuzzy intervals. In this paper, we combine the concepts of gradual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-12-20 Elizabeth Untiedt , Weldon Lodwick

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

We review state-of-the-art formal methods applied to the emerging field of the verification of machine learning systems. Formal methods can provide rigorous correctness guarantees on hardware and software systems. Thanks to the availability…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Caterina Urban , Antoine Miné

The aim of this paper is to give a presentation of the Python toolbox YALTAPy dedicated to the stability study of standard and fractional delay systems as well as its online version YALTAPy_Online. Both toolboxes are derived from YALTA…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Hugo Cavalera , Jayvir Raj , Guilherme Mazanti , Catherine Bonnet

This paper introduces a new constraint domain for reasoning about data with uncertainty. It extends convex modeling with the notion of p-box to gain additional quantifiable information on the data whereabouts. Unlike existing approaches,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Aya Saad , Thom Fruehwirth , Carmen Gervet

The investigations reported in this paper center on the process of dynamic uncertainty assessment during interpretation tasks in real domain. In particular, we are interested here in the nature of the control structure of computer programs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Shohara L. Hardt

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

MATLAB(R) releases over the last 3 years have witnessed a continuing growth in the dynamic modeling capabilities offered by the System Identification Toolbox(TM). The emphasis has been on integrating deep learning architectures and training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Tianyu Dai , Khaled Aljanaideh , Rong Chen , Rajiv Singh , Alec Stothert , Lennart Ljung

Deep Neural Networks (DNN) are crucial in approximating nonlinear functions across diverse applications, ranging from image classification to control. Verifying specific input-output properties can be a highly challenging task due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Tianhao Wei , Hanjiang Hu , Luca Marzari , Kai S. Yun , Peizhi Niu , Xusheng Luo , Changliu Liu

Formal software specification is known to enable early error detection and explicit invariants, yet it has seen limited industrial adoption due to its high notation overhead and the expertise required to use traditional formal languages.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Antonio Abu Nassar , Eitan Farchi

We present POLAR, a polynomial arithmetic-based framework for efficient bounded-time reachability analysis of neural-network controlled systems (NNCSs). Existing approaches that leverage the standard Taylor Model (TM) arithmetic for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-27 Chao Huang , Jiameng Fan , Zhilu Wang , Yixuan Wang , Weichao Zhou , Jiajun Li , Xin Chen , Wenchao Li , Qi Zhu

Complete verification of deep neural networks (DNNs) can exactly determine whether the DNN satisfies a desired trustworthy property (e.g., robustness, fairness) on an infinite set of inputs or not. Despite the tremendous progress to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Shubham Ugare , Debangshu Banerjee , Sasa Misailovic , Gagandeep Singh

We introduce for the first time a neural-certificate framework for continuous-time stochastic dynamical systems. Autonomous learning systems in the physical world demand continuous-time reasoning, yet existing learnable certificates for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-01 Grigory Neustroev , Mirco Giacobbe , Anna Lukina

In this paper, we present a method which combines the flexibility of the neural algorithm of artistic style with the speed of fast style transfer networks to allow real-time stylization using any content/style image pair. We build upon…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Golnaz Ghiasi , Honglak Lee , Manjunath Kudlur , Vincent Dumoulin , Jonathon Shlens

Neural network verification aims at providing formal guarantees on the output of trained neural networks, to ensure their robustness against adversarial examples and enable their deployment in safety-critical applications. This paper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Haoruo Zhao , Hassan Hijazi , Haydn Jones , Juston Moore , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

Capture calculus has recently been proposed as a solution to effect checking, achieved by tracking the captured references of terms in the types. Boxes, along with the box and unbox operations, are a crucial construct in capture calculus,…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yichen Xu , Martin Odersky