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To address the needs of modeling uncertainty in sensitive machine learning applications, the setup of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) seeks good performance uniformly across a variety of tasks. The recent multi-distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Rafael Hanashiro , Patrick Jaillet

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo

Malware attacks in today's vast digital ecosystem pose a serious threat. Understanding malware propagation dynamics and designing effective control strategies are therefore essential. In this work, we propose a generic SEIRV model…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Samiran Ghosh , V Anil Kumar

In this paper, we consider an adaptive optimal control problem for an SIR/V epidemic model with human behavioral effects.We develop a model where effective management of infectious diseases are monitored by the means of non pharmaceutical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Nuruzzaman Rahat , Abid Hossain , Muntasir Alam

In this paper we address the problem of decision making within a Markov decision process (MDP) framework where risk and modeling errors are taken into account. Our approach is to minimize a risk-sensitive conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Yinlam Chow , Aviv Tamar , Shie Mannor , Marco Pavone

This paper investigates model robustness in reinforcement learning (RL) to reduce the sim-to-real gap in practice. We adopt the framework of distributionally robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), aimed at learning a policy that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Laixi Shi , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Matthieu Geist , Yuejie Chi

Inspired by Shapiro et al.~\cite{shapiro2023episodic}, we consider a stochastic optimal control (SOC) and Markov decision process (MDP) where the risks arising from epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties are assessed using Bayesian composite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Wentao Ma , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu

This paper presents a novel approach to addressing the distributionally robust nonlinear model predictive control (DRNMPC) problem. Current literature primarily focuses on the static Wasserstein distributionally robust optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Zhengang Zhong , Jia-Jie Zhu

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a fundamental model in sequential decision making. Robust MDPs (RMDPs) extend this framework by allowing uncertainty in transition probabilities and optimizing against the worst-case realization of that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Ali Asadi , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Ehsan Goharshady , Mehrdad Karrabi , Alipasha Montaseri , Carlo Pagano

This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

Motivated by the need for a robust policy in the face of environment shifts between training and deployment, we contribute to the theoretical foundation of distributionally robust reinforcement learning (DRRL). This is accomplished through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Shengbo Wang , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

Objective: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and made a huge influence across the world. Modeling the infectious spread situation of COVID-19 is essential to understand the current condition and to formulate intervention measurements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ruhan Liu , Jiajia Li , Yang Wen , Huating Li , Ping Zhang , Bin Sheng , David Dagan Feng

This paper investigates the finite-horizon distributionally robust mixed-integer control (DRMIC) of uncertain linear systems. However, deriving an optimal causal feedback control policy to this DRMIC problem is computationally formidable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Xutao Ma , Chao Ning , Wenli Du , Yang Shi

Interval Markov decision processes are a class of Markov models where the transition probabilities between the states belong to intervals. In this paper, we study the problem of efficient estimation of the optimal policies in Interval…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Saber Jafarpour , Samuel Coogan

Following the occurrence of an extreme natural or man-made event, community recovery management should aim at providing optimal restoration policies for a community over a planning horizon. Calculating such optimal restoration polices in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Saeed Nozhati , Yugandhar Sarkale , Edwin K. P. Chong , Bruce R. Ellingwood

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

In this paper, we develop a robust economic model predictive controller for the containment of stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Vigilant (SEIV) epidemic processes which drives the process to extinction quickly, while minimizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

We consider large-scale Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a risk measure of variability in cost, under the risk-aware MDPs paradigm. Previous studies showed that risk-aware MDPs, based on a minimax approach to handling risk, can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell , Huan Xu

User-to-network relaying enabled via Device-to-Device communications (D2D) is a promising technique for improving the performance of cellular networks. Since in practice relays are in mobility, a dynamic relay selection scheme is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Rita Ibrahim , Mohamad Assaad , Berna Sayrac

Dynamic influence maximization problem (DIMP) aims to maintain a group of influential users within an evolving social network, so that the influence scope can be maximized at any given moment. A primary category of DIMP algorithms focuses…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Shaofeng Zhang , Shengcai Liu , Ke Tang
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