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Related papers: Optimal Vaccination Policy to Prevent Endemicity: …

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As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-16 Frank Ball , David Sirl

How to allocate vaccines over heterogeneous individuals is one of the important policy decisions in pandemic times. This paper develops a procedure to estimate an individualized vaccine allocation policy under limited supply, exploiting…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-25 Toru Kitagawa , Guanyi Wang

The outbreak of mutant strains and vaccination behaviors have been the focus of recent epidemiological research, but most existing epidemic models failed to simultaneously capture viral mutation and consider the complexity and behavioral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Wenjie Zhang , Yusheng Li , Qin Li , Guojun Huang , Minyu Feng

Covid-19 has caused hundred of thousands of deaths and an economic damage amounting to trillions of dollars, creating a desire for the rapid development of vaccine. Once available, vaccine is gradually produced, evoking the question on how…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Jens Grauer , Hartmut Löwen , Benno Liebchen

This work describes a simple agent model for the spread of an epidemic outburst, with special emphasis on mobility and geographical considerations, which we characterize via statistical mechanics and numerical simulations. As the mobility…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-30 Óscar Toledano , Begoña Mula , Silvia N. Santalla , Javier Rodríguez-Laguna , Óscar Gálvez

A cholera transmission model incorporating water-borne and horizontal transmissions as well as infectivity of deceased individuals is formulated and studied. The model also describes an imperfect and waning vaccination. Global stability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-11 Abdramane Annour Saad , Julien Arino , Patrick M Tchepmo Djomegni , Mahamat S Daoussa Haggar

The propagation of model epidemics on a small-world network under the action of immunization is studied. Although the connectivity in this kind of networks is rather uniform, a vaccination strategy focused on the best connected individuals…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Marcelo Kuperman

The pursuit of strategies that minimize the number of individuals needing vaccination to control an outbreak is a well-established area of study in mathematical epidemiology. However, for certain diseases, public policy tends to prioritize…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-30 J. Orestes Cerdeira , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Matheus Hansen

We propose a model of the immunity to a cyclical epidemic disease taking account not only of seasonal boosts during the infectious season, but also of residual immunity remaining from one season to the next. The focus is on the exponential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-22 Siyu Chen , David Sankoff

The topic of finding effective strategy to halt virus in complex network is of current interest. We propose an immunization strategy for seasonal epidemics that occur periodically. Based on the local information of the infection status from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shu Yan , Shaoting Tang , Sen Pei , Shijin Jiang , Zhiming Zheng

Real-time vaccination following an outbreak can effectively mitigate the damage caused by an infectious disease. However, in many cases, available resources are insufficient to vaccinate the entire at-risk population, logistics result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-29 Chantal Nguyen , Jean M. Carlson

Early on during a pandemic, vaccine availability is limited, requiring prioritisation of different population groups. Evaluating vaccine allocation is therefore a crucial element of pandemics response. In the present work, we develop a…

This study presents a seasonally forced cholera model that incorporates imperfect vaccination as a control strategy. The model captures the temporal dynamics of susceptible, vaccinated, infected, and recovered individuals, as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Eric Herrison Gyamfi

Understanding dynamics of an infectious disease helps in designing appropriate strategies for containing its spread in a population. Recent mathematical models are aimed at studying dynamics of some specific types of infectious diseases. In…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-05 P. Raja Sekhara Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIR epidemiology model that includes a partially specified vaccination policy and takes into account fatigue from protracted application of social distancing measures. The model assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Evangelos F. Magirou

We consider the effect of inducement to vaccinate during the spread of an infectious disease on complex networks. Suppose that public resources are finite and that only a small proportion of individuals can be vaccinated freely (complete…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-30 Hai-Feng Zhang , Pan-Pan Shu , Ming Tang , Michael Small

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

SIR models, also with age structure, can be used to describe the evolution of an infective disease. A vaccination campaign influences this dynamics immunizing part of the susceptible individuals, essentially turning them into recovered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

Optimal strategies for epidemic containment are focused on dismantling the contact network through effective immunization with minimal costs. However, network fragmentation is seldom accessible in practice and may present extreme side…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-26 Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira
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