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The COVID-19 pandemic so far has caused huge negative impacts on different areas all over the world, and the United States (US) is one of the most affected countries. In this paper, we use methods from the functional data analysis to look…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-22 Chen Tang , Tiandong Wang , Panpan Zhang

We investigate patterns of COVID-19 mortality across 20 Italian regions and their association with mobility, positivity, and socio-demographic, infrastructural and environmental covariates. Notwithstanding limitations in accuracy and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-29 Tobia Boschi , Jacopo Di Iorio , Lorenzo Testa , Marzia A. Cremona , Francesca Chiaromonte

We use data from 107 Italian provinces to characterize and compare mortality patterns in the first two COVID-19 epidemic waves, which occurred prior to the introduction of vaccines. We also associate these patterns with mobility, timing of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-07 Tobia Boschi , Jacopo Di Iorio , Lorenzo Testa , Marzia A. Cremona , Francesca Chiaromonte

A multiple objective space-time forecasting approach is presented involving cyclical curve log-regression, and multivariate time series spatial residual correlation analysis. Specifically, the mean quadratic loss function is minimized in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-30 A. Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

In this paper, we apply statistical methods for functional data to explain the heterogeneity in the evolution of number of deaths of Covid-19 over different regions. We treat the cumulative daily number of deaths in a specific region as a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Julian A. A. Collazos , Ronaldo Dias , Marcelo C. Medeiros

Purpose: This paper proposes a methodology and a computational tool to study the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world and to perform a trend analysis to assess its local dynamics. Methods: Mathematical functions are employed to describe…

We present an extension of the Li and Lee model to quantify mortality in five European countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. The first two factors are used to model the pre-COVID mortality, with the first layer modelling the common trend…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-15 Frank van Berkum , Bertrand Melenberg , Michel Vellekoop

We propose a novel methodology for estimating the epidemiological parameters of a modified SIRD model (acronym of Susceptible, Infected, Recovered and Deceased individuals) and perform a short-term forecast of SARS-CoV-2 virus spread. We…

This paper introduces new methods to analyze the changing progression of COVID-19 cases to deaths in different waves of the pandemic. First, an algorithmic approach partitions each country or state's COVID-19 time series into a first wave…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-18 Nick James , Max Menzies , Peter Radchenko

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

A second wave pandemic constitutes an imminent threat to society, with a potentially immense toll in terms of human lives and a devastating economic impact. We employ the epidemic renormalisation group approach to pandemics, together with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-28 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Corentin Cot , Francesco Sannino

The COVID-19 pandemic has taken the world by storm with its high infection rate. Investigating its geographical disparities has paramount interest in order to gauge its relationships with political decisions, economic indicators, or mental…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Amay SM Cheam , Marc Fredette , Matthieu Marbac , Fabien Navarro

The COVID-19 pandemic has, worldwide and up to December 2020, caused over 1.7 million deaths, and put the world's most advanced healthcare systems under heavy stress. In many countries, drastic restrictive measures adopted by political…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Giovanni Soldi , Nicola Forti , Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Stefano Marano , Peter Willett , Krishna Pattipati

In this paper, we estimate epidemiological data of the COVID-19 pandemic in Hungary using only the daily number of hospitalized patients, and applying well-known techniques from systems and control theory. We use a previously published and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-11 Balazs Csutak , Peter Polcz , Gabor Szederkenyi

The changing nature of the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of comprehensively considering its impacts and considering changes over time. Most COVID-19 related research addresses narrowly focused research questions and is…

In this work we review recent works analyzing mobility data and its application in understanding the epidemic dynamics for the COVID-19 pandemic and more. We also discuss privacy-preserving solutions to analyze the mobility data in order to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Abhishek Singh , Alok Mathur , Alka Asthana , Juliet Maina , Jade Nester , Sai Sri Sathya , Santanu Bhattacharya , Vidya Phalke

Modeling and analysis of the large scale Covid-19 pandemic data can yield inferences about it's dynamics and characteristics of disease propagation. These inferences can then be correlated with contextual factors like population density,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-07 Preet Mishra , R. K. Brojen Singh

The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has severely impacted almost all countries around the world. It not only has caused a tremendous burden on health-care providers to bear, but it has also brought severe impacts on the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Shayan Fazeli , Babak Moatamed , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Since the World Health Organization (WHO) characterized COVID-19 as a pandemic in March 2020, there have been over 600 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and more than six million deaths as of October 2022. The relationship between the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Hanjia Lyu , Arsal Imtiaz , Yufei Zhao , Jiebo Luo

In this review, we successively present the methods for phenomenological modeling of the evolution of reported and unreported cases of COVID-19, both in the exponential phase of growth and then in a complete epidemic wave. After the case of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-10-02 J. Demongeot , P. Magal
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