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The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We study a multi-type Ehrenfest process modeled as a finite quasi-birth-death (QBD) process. We assume that the transitions are allowed only to the two adjacent levels of the same phase and are characterized by linear rates. The crucial…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Giulia Di Nunno , Barbara Martinucci , Serena Spina

We study a discrete-time stochastic process that can also be interpreted as a model for a viral evolution. A distinguishing feature of our process is power-law tails due to dynamics that resembles preferential attachment models. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Iddo Ben-Ari , Carter Bedsole , Grace O'Neil

We consider general discrete-time multitype branching processes on a countable set $X$. According to these processes, a particle of type $x\in X$ generates a random number of children and chooses their type in $X$, not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We consider a last progeny modified branching random walk, in which the position of each particle at the last generation $n$ is modified by an i.i.d. copy of a random variable $Y$. Depending on the asymptotic properties of the tail of $Y$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Partha Pratim Ghosh , Bastien Mallein

In this paper, we study a flower population in which self-reproduction is not permitted. Individuals are diploid, {that is, each cell contains two sets of chromosomes}, and {distylous, that is, two alleles, A and a, can be found at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-04 Pauline Lafitte-Godillon , Kilian Raschel , Viet Chi Tran

We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We study an immigration effect in the time-changed linear birth-death process where the immigration occurs only if the population goes extinct. We call this process as the time-fractional linear birth-death process with immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

Consider a supercritical branching random walk in a time-inhomogeneous random environment. We impose a selection (called barrier) on survival in the following way. The position of the barrier may depend on the generation and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 You Lv

We analyze evolutionary dynamics in a confluent, branching cellular population, such as in a growing duct, vasculature, or in a branching microbial colony. We focus on the coarse-grained features of the evolution and build a statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Adam S. Bryant , Maxim O. Lavrentovich

We study supercritical branching processes under the influence of an i.i.d. emigration component. We provide conditions, under which the lifetime of the process is finite respectively has a finite expectation. A new version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Georg Braun

We consider a simple max-type recursive model which was introduced in the study of depinning transition in presence of strong disorder, by Derrida and Retaux. Our interest is focused on the critical regime, for which we study the extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Xinxing Chen , Bernard Derrida , Yueyun Hu , Mikhail Lifshits , Zhan Shi

Populations experience a complex interplay of continuous and discrete processes: continuous growth and interactions are punctuated by discrete reproduction events, dispersal, and external disturbances. These dynamics can be modeled by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Mutation-induced drug resistance in cancer often causes the failure of therapies and cancer recurrence, despite an initial tumor reduction. The timing of such cancer recurrence is governed by a balance between several factors such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder

Motivated by the study of a parasite infection in a cell line, we introduce a general class of Markov processes for the modelling of population dynamics. The population process evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps whose rate is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

We know that stress-factors, e.g. X-rays, have an effect on cells that is more lethal in rapid exponential growth than in stationary phase. It is this effect which makes radiotherapy effective in cancer treatment. This stress effect can be…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-12-14 Zengru Di , Eduardo M. Garcia-Roger , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner , Stephane Tronche

When four species compete stochastically in a cyclic way, the formation of two teams of mutually neutral partners is observed. In this paper we study through numerical simulations the extinction processes that can take place in this system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-14 Ben Intoy , Michel Pleimling

Some populations, such as red blood cells (RBCs), exhibit a pattern of population decline that is closer to linear rather than exponential, which has proven to be unexpectedly challenging to describe with a single simple mathematical model.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Irina Kareva , Georgy Karev

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We consider a critical continuous-time branching process (a Yule process) in which the individuals independently execute symmetric $\alpha-$stable random motions on the real line starting at their birth points. Because the branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao