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In this paper we develop the large deviations principle and a rigorous mathematical framework for asymptotically efficient importance sampling schemes for general, fully dependent systems of stochastic differential equations of slow and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Understanding transport processes in complex nanoscale systems, like ionic conductivities in nanofluidic devices or heat conduction in low dimensional solids, poses the problem of examining fluctuations of currents within nonequilibrium…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 David T. Limmer , Chloe Y. Gao , Anthony R. Poggioli

Large deviation functions contain information on the stability and response of systems driven into nonequilibrium steady states, and in such a way are similar to free energies for systems at equilibrium. As with equilibrium free energies,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Ushnish Ray , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan , David T. Limmer

The ability to forecast a set of likely yet diverse possible future behaviors of an agent (e.g., future trajectories of a pedestrian) is essential for safety-critical perception systems (e.g., autonomous vehicles). In particular, a set of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Ye Yuan , Kris Kitani

This study focuses on large deviation principles for fully coupled multiscale multivalued stochastic systems, in which the slow component is governed by a multivalued stochastic differential equation and the fast component is described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Huijie Qiao

We describe a framework to significantly reduce the computational effort to evaluate large deviation functions of time integrated observables within nonequilibrium steady states. We do this by incorporating an auxiliary dynamics into…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-25 Ushnish Ray , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan , David T. Limmer

Establishing a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) proves to be a powerful result for a vast number of stochastic models in many application areas of probability theory. The key object of an LDP is the large deviations rate function, from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Ken R. Duffy , Brendan D. Williamson

In stochastic resonance, a periodically forced Brownian particle in a double-well potential jumps between minima at rare increments, the prediction of which poses a major theoretical challenge. Here, we use a path-integral method to find a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-04-02 L. T. Giorgini , S. H. Lim , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

In this paper, we are concerned with the reliability assessment of redundant multi-channel systems having multiple controllers with overlapping functionality -- where all controllers are required to respond optimally to the non-faulty…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Getachew K. Befekadu , Panos J. Antsaklis

The Join-the-Shortest-Queue routing policy is studied in an asymptotic regime where the number of processors $n$ scales with the arrival rate. A large deviation principle (LDP) for the occupancy process is established, as $n\to \infty$, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Amarjit Budhiraja , Eric Friedlander , Ruoyu Wu

The large-deviation method allows to characterize an ergodic counting process in terms of a thermodynamic frame where a free energy function determines the asymptotic non-stationary statistical properties of its fluctuations. Here, we study…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-13 Adrian A. Budini

We study the performance of machine learning binary classification techniques in terms of error probabilities. The statistical test is based on the Data-Driven Decision Function (D3F), learned in the training phase, i.e., what is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Augusto Aubry , Antonio De Maio , Peter Willett

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

Estimating the likelihood, timing, and nature of events is a major goal of modeling stochastic dynamical systems. When the event is rare in comparison with the timescales of simulation and/or measurement needed to resolve the elemental…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-06-14 John Strahan , Justin Finkel , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

It is well known that symplectic methods have been rigorously shown to be superior to non-symplectic ones especially in long-time computation, when applied to deterministic Hamiltonian systems. In this paper, we attempt to study the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Chuchu Chen , Jialin Hong , Diancong Jin , Liying Sun

The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

Small nonequelibrium systems driven by an external periodic protocol can be described by Markov processes with time-periodic transition rates. In general, current fluctuations in such small systems are large and may play a crucial role. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-21 Andre C Barato , Raphael Chetrite

In this paper, we consider an importance sampling problem for a certain rare-event simulations involving the behavior of a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed systems with random perturbations. We also assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Getachew K. Befekadu

We study large deviations for the current of one-dimensional stochastic particle systems with periodic boundary conditions. Following a recent approach based on an earlier result by Jensen and Varadhan, we compare several candidates for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-02 Paul Chleboun , Stefan Grosskinsky , Andrea Pizzoferrato

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been widely used in machine learning due to its computational efficiency and favorable generalization properties. Recently, it has been empirically demonstrated that the gradient noise in several deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Umut Şimşekli , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Gaël Richard