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Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, we propose a new information-theoretic based generalization error upper bound applicable to supervised learning scenarios.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distributions are flexible generalizations of the Poisson distribution for modelling overdispersed or underdispersed counts. The main hindrance to their wider use in practice seems to be the inability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-15 Alan Huang

Chernoff information upper bounds the probability of error of the optimal Bayesian decision rule for $2$-class classification problems. However, it turns out that in practice the Chernoff bound is hard to calculate or even approximate. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Frank Nielsen

We prove a new generalization bound that shows for any class of linear predictors in Gaussian space, the Rademacher complexity of the class and the training error under any continuous loss $\ell$ can control the test error under all Moreau…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Lijia Zhou , Frederic Koehler , Pragya Sur , Danica J. Sutherland , Nathan Srebro

Active learning can reduce the number of samples needed to perform a hypothesis test and to estimate the parameters of a model. In this paper, we revisit the work of Chernoff that described an asymptotically optimal algorithm for performing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-14 Subhojyoti Mukherjee , Ardhendu Tripathy , Robert Nowak

A widely used algorithm for transfer learning is fine-tuning, where a pre-trained model is fine-tuned on a target task with a small amount of labeled data. When the capacity of the pre-trained model is significantly larger than the size of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Dongyue Li , Hongyang R. Zhang

We investigate approaches to regularisation during fine-tuning of deep neural networks. First we provide a neural network generalisation bound based on Rademacher complexity that uses the distance the weights have moved from their initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Henry Gouk , Timothy M. Hospedales , Massimiliano Pontil

When dealing with modern big data sets, a very common theme is reducing the set through a random process. These generally work by making "many simple estimates" of the full data set, and then judging them as a whole. Perhaps magically,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-02-20 Jeff M. Phillips

We derive a novel PAC-Bayesian generalization bound for reinforcement learning that explicitly accounts for Markov dependencies in the data, through the chain's mixing time. This contributes to overcoming challenges in obtaining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Abdelkrim Zitouni , Mehdi Hennequin , Juba Agoun , Ryan Horache , Nadia Kabachi , Omar Rivasplata

In this paper, we derive generalization bounds for the two primary classes of graph neural networks (GNNs), namely graph convolutional networks (GCNs) and message passing GNNs (MPGNNs), via a PAC-Bayesian approach. Our result reveals that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Renjie Liao , Raquel Urtasun , Richard Zemel

Bayesian methods, distributionally robust optimization methods, and regularization methods are three pillars of trustworthy machine learning combating distributional uncertainty, e.g., the uncertainty of an empirical distribution compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang

Despite its empirical success, deep learning still lacks a comprehensive theoretical understanding of model fitting and generalization. This paper proposes the probability distribution (PD) learning framework to analyze the optimization and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Binchuan Qi , Wei Gong , Li Li

Generalization performance of classifiers in deep learning has recently become a subject of intense study. Deep models, typically over-parametrized, tend to fit the training data exactly. Despite this "overfitting", they perform well on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-18 Mikhail Belkin , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

We study transformers' generalization behavior on boolean domains from the perspective of the Fourier spectra of their target functions. In contrast to prior work (Edelman et al., 2022; Trauger & Tosh, 2024), which derived generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Paul Lintilhac , Sair Shaikh

In this paper a parameterized generalization of a good cover filtration is introduced called an {\epsilon}-good cover, defined as a cover filtration in which the reduced homology groups of the image of the inclusions between the…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Nicholas J. Cavanna , Donald R. Sheehy

Stochastic Nonlinear Optimal Control (SNOC) involves minimizing a cost function that averages out the random uncertainties affecting the dynamics of nonlinear systems. For tractability reasons, this problem is typically addressed by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-27 Mahrokh Ghoddousi Boroujeni , Clara Lucía Galimberti , Andreas Krause , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Training modern neural networks often relies on large learning rates, operating at the edge of stability, where the optimization dynamics exhibit oscillatory and chaotic behavior. Empirically, this regime often yields improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Mario Tuci , Caner Korkmaz , Umut Şimşekli , Tolga Birdal

We derive explicit non-asymptotic PAC-Bayes generalization bounds for Gibbs posteriors, that is, data-dependent distributions over model parameters obtained by exponentially tilting a prior with the empirical risk. Unlike classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Chenyang Wang , Yun Yang

An identity between two versions of the Chernoff bound on the probability a certain large deviations event, is established. This identity has an interpretation in statistical physics, namely, an isothermal equilibrium of a composite system…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Neri Merhav

We develop a theoretical framework for generalization in the interpolating regime of statistical learning. The central question is why highly overparameterized estimators can attain zero empirical risk while still achieving nontrivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Gustav Olaf Yunus Laitinen-Lundström Fredriksson-Imanov
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