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Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals' planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Donlapark Ponnoprat

The introduction of more renewable energy sources into the energy system increases the variability and weather dependence of electricity generation. Power system simulations are used to assess the adequacy and reliability of the electricity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-02 Laurens P. Stoop , Erik Duijm , Ad J. Feelders , Machteld van den Broek

Residential electricity demand forecasting is critical for efficient energy management and grid stability. Accurate predictions enable utility companies to optimize planning and operations. However, real-world residential electricity demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Reza Nematirad , Anil Pahwa , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Bridging the gap between data-rich training regimes and observation-sparse deployment conditions remains a central challenge in spatiotemporal field reconstruction, particularly when target domains exhibit distributional shifts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Xingyue Zhang , Yuxuan Bao , Mars Liyao Gao , J. Nathan Kutz

State-of-the-art schemes for performance analysis and optimization of multiple-input multiple-output systems generally experience degradation or even become invalid in dynamic complex scenarios with unknown interference and channel state…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Fan Meng , Shengheng Liu , Yongming Huang , Zhaohua Lu

Accurate surface solar irradiance (SSI) forecasting is essential for optimizing renewable energy systems, particularly in the context of long-term energy planning on a global scale. This paper presents a pioneering approach to solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-14 Alberto Carpentieri , Jussi Leinonen , Jeff Adie , Boris Bonev , Doris Folini , Farah Hariri

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Wei Jiang , Zhongkai Yi , Li Wang , Hanwei Zhang , Jihai Zhang , Fangquan Lin , Cheng Yang

Accurate energy consumption prediction is crucial for optimizing the operation of electric commercial heavy-duty vehicles, e.g., route planning for charging. Moreover, understanding why certain predictions are cast is paramount for such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Yuantao Fan , Zhenkan Wang , Sepideh Pashami , Slawomir Nowaczyk , Henrik Ydreskog

Accurate prediction of extreme weather events remains a major challenge for artificial intelligence-based weather prediction systems. While deterministic models such as FuXi, GraphCast, and SFNO have achieved competitive forecast skill…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Rodrigo Almeida , Noelia Otero , Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres , Jackie Ma

The proliferation of intermittent distributed renewable energy sources (RES) in modern power systems has fundamentally compromised the reliability and accuracy of deterministic net load forecasting. Generative models, particularly diffusion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Yixiang Huang , Jianhua Pei , Luocheng Chen , Zhenchang Du , Jinfu Chen , Zirui Peng

Since the internal temperature is less accessible than surface temperature, there is an urgent need to develop accurate and real-time estimation algorithms for better thermal management and safety. This work presents a novel framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Yusheng Zheng , Wenxue Liu , Yunhong Che , Ferdinand Grimm , Jingyuan Zhao , Xiaosong Hu , Simona Onori , Remus Teodorescu , Gregory J. Offer

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are key sources of subseasonal predictability and major drivers of extreme weather in winter. Accurate and efficient probabilistic forecasting of these events remains a persistent challenge for Numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Ningning Tao , Fei Xie , Baoxiang Pan , Hongyu Wang , Han Huang , Zhongpu Qiu , Ke Gui , Jiali Luo , Xiaosong Chen

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Real-world time-series datasets often violate the assumptions of standard supervised learning for forecasting -- their distributions evolve over time, rendering the conventional training and model selection procedures suboptimal. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Sercan O. Arik , Nathanael C. Yoder , Tomas Pfister

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

The energy sector is experiencing rapid transformation due to increasing renewable energy integration, decentralisation of power systems, and a heightened focus on efficiency and sustainability. With energy demand becoming increasingly…

Accurate solar generation prediction is essential for proper estimation of renewable energy resources across diverse geographic locations. However, geographical and weather features vary from location to location which introduces domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Md Saiful Islam Sajol

Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Nishant Gadde , Yoshua Alexander , Sarvesh Parthasarthy , Arman Allidina

The stochastic differential equation (SDE)-based random process models of volatile renewable energy sources (RESs) jointly capture the evolving probability distribution and temporal correlation in continuous time. It has enabled recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Zhipeng Zhou , Ningyi Dai , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song
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