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We study neural networks as nonparametric estimation tools for the hedging of options. To this end, we design a network, named HedgeNet, that directly outputs a hedging strategy. This network is trained to minimise the hedging error instead…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Johannes Ruf , Weiguan Wang

Threat modeling plays a critical role in the identification and mitigation of security risks; however, manual approaches are often labor intensive and prone to error. This paper investigates the automation of software threat modeling…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Nicholas Pecka , Lotfi Ben Othmane , Renee Bryce

We describe the pricing and hedging of financial options without the use of probability using rough paths. By encoding the volatility of assets in an enhancement of the price trajectory, we give a pathwise presentation of the replication of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 John Armstrong , Claudio Bellani , Damiano Brigo , Thomas Cass

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna

This article develops the theory of risk budgeting portfolios, when we would like to impose weight constraints. It appears that the mathematical problem is more complex than the traditional risk budgeting problem. The formulation of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-18 Jean-Charles Richard , Thierry Roncalli

In this article we deal with the problem of portfolio allocation by enhancing network theory tools. We use the dependence structure of the correlations network in constructing some well-known risk-based models in which the estimation of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Asmerilda Hitaj

We present a robust Deep Hedging framework for the pricing and hedging of option portfolios that significantly improves training efficiency and model robustness. In particular, we propose a neural model for training model embeddings which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-24 Fabienne Schmid , Daniel Oeltz

The purpose of this paper is to advance the understanding of the conditions that give rise to flash crash contagion, particularly with respect to overlapping asset portfolio crowding. To this end, we designed, implemented, and assessed a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-01 James Paulin , Anisoara Calinescu , Michael Wooldridge

Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

The idiosyncratic (microscopic) and systemic (macroscopic) components of market structure have been shown to be responsible for the departure of the optimal mean-variance allocation from the heuristic `equally-weighted' portfolio. In this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-24 Sebastiano Michele Zema , Giorgio Fagiolo , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Clustering techniques play an important role in data mining and its related applications. Among the challenging applications that require robust and real-time processing are crowd management and group trajectory applications. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-08-03 Yasser Mohammad Seddiq , A. A. Alharbiy , Moayyad Hamza Ghunaim

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The paper investigates quadratic hedging in a semimartingale market that does not necessarily contain a risk-free asset. An equivalence result for hedging with and without numeraire change is established. This permits direct computation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Aleš Černý , Christoph Czichowsky , Jan Kallsen

How do we design and deploy crowdsourced prediction platforms for real-world applications where risk is an important dimension of prediction performance? To answer this question, we conducted a large online Wisdom of the Crowd study where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-21 Dhaval Adjodah , Yan Leng , Shi Kai Chong , P. M. Krafft , Esteban Moro , Alex Pentland

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

This paper focuses on the application of quantitative portfolio management by using integer programming and clustering techniques. Investors seek to gain the highest profits and lowest risk in capital markets. A data-oriented analysis of US…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei , Prabhu Prasad Panda

The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-28 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

Scholars have increasingly investigated "crowdsourcing" as an alternative to expert-based judgment or purely data-driven approaches to predicting the future. Under certain conditions, scholars have found that crowdsourcing can outperform…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-12 Daniel Martin Katz , Michael James Bommarito , Josh Blackman

We use an adversarial expert based online learning algorithm to learn the optimal parameters required to maximise wealth trading zero-cost portfolio strategies. The learning algorithm is used to determine the relative population dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Nicholas Murphy , Tim Gebbie

This paper uses topological data analysis (TDA) tools and introduces a data-driven clustering-based stock selection strategy tailored for sparse portfolio construction. Our asset selection strategy exploits the topological features of stock…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-16 Anubha Goel , Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha