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We propose a class of strongly efficient rare event simulation estimators for random walks and compound Poisson processes with a regularly varying increment/jump-size distribution in a general large deviations regime. Our estimator is based…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Bohan Chen , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

Unraveling the dynamical motions of biomolecules is essential for bridging their structure and function, yet it remains a major computational challenge. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulation provides a detailed depiction of biomolecular…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-17 Allan dos Santos Costa , Manvitha Ponnapati , Dana Rubin , Tess Smidt , Joseph Jacobson

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

DiffEqFlux.jl is a library for fusing neural networks and differential equations. In this work we describe differential equations from the viewpoint of data science and discuss the complementary nature between machine learning models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Chris Rackauckas , Mike Innes , Yingbo Ma , Jesse Bettencourt , Lyndon White , Vaibhav Dixit

Many astrophysical simulations involve extreme dynamic range of timescales around 'special points' in the domain (e.g. black holes, stars, planets, disks, galaxies, shocks, mixing interfaces), where processes on small scales couple strongly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-11 Philip F. Hopkins , Elias R. Most

PowerSimulations.jl is a Julia-based BSD-licensed power system operations simulation tool developed as a flexible and open source software for quasi-static power systems simulations including Production Cost Models. PowerSimulations.jl…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-05 Jose Daniel Lara , Clayton Barrows , Daniel Thom , Sourabh Dalvi , Duncan S. Callaway , Dheepak Krishnamurthy

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Many biological systems exhibit multiscale dynamics, where some species occur in high copy numbers while others remain rare. This heterogeneity necessitates hybrid modelling approaches: deterministic models are computationally efficient but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Tom Kimpson , Domenic P. J. Germano , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

We present MultiObjectiveAlgorithms.jl, an open-source Julia library for solving multi-objective optimization problems written in JuMP. MultiObjectiveAlgorithms.jl implements a number of different solution algorithms, which all rely on an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Oscar Dowson , Xavier Gandibleux , Gökhan Kof

Sparse sequences of neural spikes are posited to underlie aspects of working memory, motor production, and learning. Discovering these sequences in an unsupervised manner is a longstanding problem in statistical neuroscience. Promising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Alex H. Williams , Anthony Degleris , Yixin Wang , Scott W. Linderman

As astronomical data grows in volume and complexity, the scalability of analysis software becomes increasingly important. At the same time, astrophysics analysis software relies heavily on open-source contributions, so languages and tools…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-01 Edward Berman , Jacqueline McCleary

Random variables and their distributions are a central part in many areas of statistical methods. The Distributions.jl package provides Julia users and developers tools for working with probability distributions, leveraging Julia features…

FlowClass.jl is a Julia package for classifying continuous-time dynamical systems into a hierarchy of structural classes: Gradient, Gradient-like, Morse-Smale, Structurally Stable, and General. Given a vector field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Michael P. H. Stumpf

Pure-jump processes have been increasingly popular in modeling high-frequency financial data, partially due to their versatility and flexibility. In the meantime, several statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to check the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu , Bing-Yi Jing

Stochastic processes with long memories, known as long memory processes, are ubiquitous in various science and engineering problems. Superposing Markovian stochastic processes generates a non-Markovian long memory process serving as…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Hidekazu Yoshioka

Temporal point processes are the dominant paradigm for modeling sequences of events happening at irregular intervals. The standard way of learning in such models is by estimating the conditional intensity function. However, parameterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Oleksandr Shchur , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann

Bayesian inference for Markov jump processes (MJPs) where available observations relate to either system states or jumps typically relies on data-augmentation Markov Chain Monte Carlo. State-of-the-art developments involve representing MJP…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Iker Perez , Theodore Kypraios