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Quantitative estimate of observational uncertainty is an essential ingredient to correctly interpret changes in climatic and environmental variables such as wildfires. In this work we compare four state-of-the-art satellite fire products…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-17 Marco Turco , Sixto Herrera , Etienne Tourigny , Emilio Chuvieco , Antonello Provenzale

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

Background. Wildfire research uses ensemble methods to analyze fire behaviors and assess uncertainties. Nonetheless, current research methods are either confined to simple models or complex simulations with limits. Modern computing tools…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Qing Wang , Matthias Ihme , Cenk Gazen , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) clouds are storm clouds generated by extreme wildfires. PyroCbs are associated with unpredictable, and therefore dangerous, wildfire spread. They can also inject smoke particles and trace gases into the upper…

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

Rapid and accurate wildfire detection is crucial for emergency response and environmental management. In airborne and spaceborne missions, real-time algorithms must distinguish between no fire, active fire, and post-fire conditions, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Mark Moussa , Andre Williams , Seth Roffe , Douglas Morton

Due to climate change and human activity, wildfires are expected to become more frequent and extreme worldwide, causing economic and ecological disasters. The deployment of preventive measures and operational forecasts can be aided by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Thomas Opitz , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

Due to climate change, the extreme wildfire has become one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human civilization. Even though, some wildfires may be initially caused by human activity, but the spread of wildfires is mainly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Qijun Chen , Shaofan Li

Wildfires are increasingly impacting the environment, human health and safety. Among the top 20 California wildfires, those in 2020-2021 burned more acres than the last century combined. California's 2018 wildfire season caused damages of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Rohan Tan Bhowmik

One of the greatest sources of uncertainty in future climate projections comes from limitations in modelling clouds and in understanding how different cloud types interact with the climate system. A key first step in reducing this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-17 Valentina Zantedeschi , Fabrizio Falasca , Alyson Douglas , Richard Strange , Matt J. Kusner , Duncan Watson-Parris

Wildfire evacuation behavior is highly variable and influenced by complex interactions among household resources, preparedness, and situational cues. Using a large-scale MTurk survey of residents in California, Colorado, and Oregon, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Sazzad Bin Bashar Polock , Anandi Dutta , Subasish Das

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Research has shown that climate change creates warmer temperatures and drier conditions, leading to longer wildfire seasons and increased wildfire risks in the United States. These factors have in turn led to increases in the frequency,…

Investigating the health impacts of wildfire smoke requires data on people's exposure to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) across space and time. In recent years, it has become common to use machine learning models to fill gaps in…

Recent advances in multi-modal models have demonstrated strong performance in tasks such as image generation and reasoning. However, applying these models to the fire domain remains challenging due to the lack of publicly available datasets…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Zixuan Liu , Siavash H. Khajavi , Guangkai Jiang

Utilizing satellite imagery for wildfire detection presents substantial potential for practical applications. To advance the development of machine learning algorithms in this domain, our study introduces the \textit{Sen2Fire} dataset--a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Yonghao Xu , Amanda Berg , Leif Haglund

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires highlight the need for accurate fire and plume spread models. We introduce an approach that effectively isolates and tracks fire and plume behavior across various spatial and temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Daryn Sagel , Bryan Quaife

Accurate assessment of fuel conditions is a prerequisite for fire ignition and behavior prediction, and risk management. The method proposed herein leverages diverse data sources including Landsat-8 optical imagery, Sentinel-1 (C-band)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Riyaaz Uddien Shaik , Mohamad Alipour , Eric Rowell , Bharathan Balaji , Adam Watts , Ertugrul Taciroglu