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Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

We study discrete-time mirror descent applied to the unregularized empirical risk in matrix sensing. In both the general case of rectangular matrices and the particular case of positive semidefinite matrices, a simple potential-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Fan Wu , Patrick Rebeschini

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

Rates of convergence for empirical risk minimizers have been well studied in the literature. In this paper, we aim to provide a complementary set of results, in particular by showing that after normalization, the risk of the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-12 Sara van de Geer , Martin Wainwright

We develop a new methodology for model-based clustering. Optimizing the log-likelihood provides a principled statistical framework for clustering, with solutions found via the EM algorithm. However, because the log-likelihood is nonconvex,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Gonzalo Mena

In safety-critical applications, machine learning models should generalize well under worst-case distribution shifts, that is, have a small robust risk. Invariance-based algorithms can provably take advantage of structural assumptions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Julia Kostin , Nicola Gnecco , Fanny Yang

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Model error covariances play a central role in the performance of data assimilation methods applied to nonlinear state-space models. However, these covariances are largely unknown in most of the applications. A misspecification of the model…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-06 María Magdalena Lucini , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Manuel Pulido

The theoretical and empirical performance of Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) often suffers when loss functions are poorly behaved with large Lipschitz moduli and spurious sharp minimizers. We propose and analyze a counterpart to ERM…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Matthew Norton , Johannes O. Royset

The expectation--maximization (EM) algorithm combines global monotonicity, local linear convergence, and strong practical robustness, but these features are usually analyzed separately. Global descent is nonlinear, whereas local convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Qiao Wang

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

This manuscript introduces a new optimization framework for machine learning and AI, named {\bf empirical X-risk minimization (EXM)}. X-risk is a term introduced to represent a family of compositional measures or objectives, in which each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Tianbao Yang

This paper studies optimization for a family of problems termed $\textbf{compositional entropic risk minimization}$, in which each data's loss is formulated as a Log-Expectation-Exponential (Log-E-Exp) function. The Log-E-Exp formulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Xiyuan Wei , Linli Zhou , Bokun Wang , Chih-Jen Lin , Tianbao Yang

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:\mathbf{R}^d\to\mathbf{R}$ when the observations are available from the function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

The mathematical formulation of sign-changing problems involves a linear second-order partial differential equation in the divergence form, where the coefficient can assume positive and negative values in different subdomains. These…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Eric T. Chung , Patrick Ciarlet , Xingguang Jin , Changqing Ye

A common pursuit in modern statistical learning is to attain satisfactory generalization out of the source data distribution (OOD). In theory, the challenge remains unsolved even under the canonical setting of covariate shift for the linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-14 Yuanshi Liu , Haihan Zhang , Qian Chen , Cong Fang

We study optimization for losses that admit a variance-mean scale-mixture representation. Under this representation, each EM iteration is a weighted least squares update in which latent variables determine observation and parameter weights;…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We introduce a constrained optimization framework for training transformers that behave like optimization descent algorithms. Specifically, we enforce layerwise descent constraints on the objective function and replace standard empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Samar Hadou , Alejandro Ribeiro

Let $F$ be a finite model of cardinality $M$ and denote by $\operatorname {conv}(F)$ its convex hull. The problem of convex aggregation is to construct a procedure having a risk as close as possible to the minimal risk over $\operatorname…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Guillaume Lecué

We propose a general theorem providing upper bounds for the risk of an empirical risk minimizer (ERM).We essentially focus on the binary classification framework. We extend Tsybakov's analysis of the risk of an ERM under margin type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Pascal Massart , Élodie Nédélec