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Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

In this paper, we investigate the distillation of time series reasoning capabilities into small, instruction-tuned language models as a step toward building interpretable time series foundation models. Leveraging a synthetic dataset of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Matthieu Boileau , Philippe Helluy , Jeremy Pawlus , Svitlana Vyetrenko

This paper presents a software implementation of a general framework for time series interpretation based on abductive reasoning. The software provides a data model and a set of algorithms to make inference to the best explanation of a time…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Tomas Teijeiro , Paulo Felix

In this work, we introduce metrics to evaluate the use of simplified time series in the context of interpretability of a TSC -- a Time Series Classifier. Such simplifications are important because time series data, in contrast to text and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Brigt Håvardstun , Felix Marti-Perez , Cèsar Ferri , Jan Arne Telle

Mechanistic interpretability focuses on reverse engineering the internal mechanisms learned by neural networks. We extend our focus and propose to mechanistically forward engineer using our framework based on Concept Bottleneck Models. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Angela van Sprang , Erman Acar , Willem Zuidema

Interpretable machine learning offers insights into what factors drive a certain prediction of a black-box system. A large number of interpreting methods focus on identifying explanatory input features, which generally fall into two main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Vy Vo , Van Nguyen , Trung Le , Quan Hung Tran , Gholamreza Haffari , Seyit Camtepe , Dinh Phung

Explanation for Multivariate Time Series Classification (MTSC) is an important topic that is under explored. There are very few quantitative evaluation methodologies and even fewer examples of actionable explanation, where the explanation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Davide Italo Serramazza , Thach Le Nguyen , Georgiana Ifrim

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, transportation, and industry. However, traditional models often focus solely on temporal features, limiting their ability to capture underlying information. This paper proposes a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Chuncheng Lu

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

InterpretML is an open-source Python package which exposes machine learning interpretability algorithms to practitioners and researchers. InterpretML exposes two types of interpretability - glassbox models, which are machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Harsha Nori , Samuel Jenkins , Paul Koch , Rich Caruana

The classification of time-series data is pivotal for streaming data and comes with many challenges. Although the amount of publicly available datasets increases rapidly, deep neural models are only exploited in a few areas. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Dominique Mercier , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

We address the problem of learning human-interpretable descriptions of a complex system from a finite set of positive and negative examples of its behavior. In contrast to most of the recent work in this area, which focuses on descriptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Rajarshi Roy , Dana Fisman , Daniel Neider

In this paper, we introduce a novel interpreting framework that learns an interpretable model based on an ontology-based sampling technique to explain agnostic prediction models. Different from existing approaches, our algorithm considers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Phung Lai , NhatHai Phan , Han Hu , Anuja Badeti , David Newman , Dejing Dou

We introduce an interpretable deep learning model for multivariate time series forecasting that prioritizes both predictive performance and interpretability - key requirements for understanding complex physical phenomena. Our model not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-28 Davor Horvatic , Domjan Baric

We introduce a temporal feature encoding architecture called Time Series Representation Model (TSRM) for multivariate time series forecasting and imputation. The architecture is structured around CNN-based representation layers, each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Robert Leppich , Michael Stenger , Daniel Grillmeyer , Vanessa Borst , Samuel Kounev

We present sktime -- a new scikit-learn compatible Python library with a unified interface for machine learning with time series. Time series data gives rise to various distinct but closely related learning tasks, such as forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Markus Löning , Anthony Bagnall , Sajaysurya Ganesh , Viktor Kazakov , Jason Lines , Franz J. Király

Pretrained language models based on the transformer architecture have shown great success in NLP. Textual training data often comes from the web and is thus tagged with time-specific information, but most language models ignore this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Guy D. Rosin , Kira Radinsky

Interpretability is a pressing issue for machine learning. Common approaches to interpretable machine learning constrain interactions between features of the input, rendering the effects of those features on a model's output comprehensible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

Transparent models, which provide inherently interpretable predictions, are receiving significant attention in high-stakes domains. However, despite much real-world data being collected as time series, there is a lack of studies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Minkyu Kim , Suan Lee , Jinho Kim

Time series analysis is crucial in diverse scenarios. Beyond forecasting, considerable real-world tasks are categorized into classification, imputation, and anomaly detection, underscoring different capabilities termed time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Haoran Zhang , Yong Liu , Yunzhong Qiu , Haixuan Liu , Zhongyi Pei , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long