English

Towards Interpretable Time Series Foundation Models

Computation and Language 2025-07-11 v1 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the distillation of time series reasoning capabilities into small, instruction-tuned language models as a step toward building interpretable time series foundation models. Leveraging a synthetic dataset of mean-reverting time series with systematically varied trends and noise levels, we generate natural language annotations using a large multimodal model and use these to supervise the fine-tuning of compact Qwen models. We introduce evaluation metrics that assess the quality of the distilled reasoning - focusing on trend direction, noise intensity, and extremum localization - and show that the post-trained models acquire meaningful interpretive capabilities. Our results highlight the feasibility of compressing time series understanding into lightweight, language-capable models suitable for on-device or privacy-sensitive deployment. This work contributes a concrete foundation toward developing small, interpretable models that explain temporal patterns in natural language.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2507.07439,
  title  = {Towards Interpretable Time Series Foundation Models},
  author = {Matthieu Boileau and Philippe Helluy and Jeremy Pawlus and Svitlana Vyetrenko},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.07439},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

International Conference on Machine Leaning (ICML) 2025 Workshop on Foundation Models for Structured Data

R2 v1 2026-07-01T03:54:14.508Z