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Related papers: Transformative AGI by 2043 is <1% likely

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With the rise of artificial intelligence (A.I.) and large language models like ChatGPT, a new race for achieving artificial general intelligence (A.G.I) has started. While many speculate how and when A.I. will achieve A.G.I., there is no…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Georgios Mappouras

Artificial Jagged Intelligence (AJI) denotes a recurring pattern in which large learning systems exhibit strong local capabilities while remaining weak or brittle in other domains. This paper develops a formal theory of AJI as uneven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Wesley Shu , Peng Wei

The discussion about the disruptive possibilities of a technology called artificial intelligence (AI) is on everyone's lips. Companies and countries alike are running multi-billion-dollar research programmes to ensure they do not miss out…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Rainer Rehak

In the psychological literature the term `general intelligence' describes correlations between abilities and not simply the number of abilities. This paper connects Spearman's $g$-factor from psychometrics, measuring a positive manifold, to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-14 David C. Krakauer

We argue that progress toward AGI is theory limited rather than data or scale limited. Building on the critical rationalism of Popper and Deutsch, we challenge the Platonic Representation Hypothesis. Observationally equivalent worlds can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Marcus A. Thomas

The field of artificial intelligence (AI) is devoted to the creation of artificial decision-makers that can perform (at least) on par with the human counterparts on a domain of interest. Unlike the agents in traditional AI, the agents in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Sultan J. Majeed

The ultimate goal of artificial intelligence (AI) is to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). Embodied Artificial Intelligence (EAI), which involves intelligent systems with physical presence and real-time interaction with the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Jinhao Jiang , Changlin Chen , Shile Feng , Wanru Geng , Zesheng Zhou , Ni Wang , Shuai Li , Feng-Qi Cui , Erbao Dong

Despite extensive investment in artificial intelligence, 95% of enterprises report no measurable profit impact from AI deployments (MIT, 2025). In this theoretical paper, we argue that this gap reflects paradigmatic lock-in that channels AI…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Diana A. Wolfe , Alice Choe , Fergus Kidd

This paper reveals a trap for artificial general intelligence (AGI) theorists who use economists' standard method of discounting. This trap is implicitly and falsely assuming that a rational AGI would have time-consistent preferences. An…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-26 James D. Miller , Roman Yampolskiy

The complexity of dynamics in AI techniques is already approaching that of complex adaptive systems, thus curtailing the feasibility of formal controllability and reachability analysis in the context of AI safety. It follows that the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-24 Vahid Behzadan , Arslan Munir , Roman V. Yampolskiy

Creating systems that are aligned with our goals is seen as a leading approach to create safe and beneficial AI in both leading AI companies and the academic field of AI safety. We defend the view that misaligned AGI - future, generally…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Max Hellrigel-Holderbaum , Leonard Dung

We are currently in an era of escalating technological complexity and profound societal transformations, where artificial intelligence (AI) technologies exemplified by large language models (LLMs) have reignited discussions on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-28 Guangyin Jin , Xiaohan Ni , Kun Wei , Jie Zhao , Haoming Zhang , Leiming Jia

The following briefly discusses possible difficulties in communication with and control of an AGI (artificial general intelligence), building upon an explanation of The Fermi Paradox and preceding work on symbol emergence and artificial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Michael Timothy Bennett

The pursuit of artificial general intelligence necessitates robust methods for evaluating the cognitive capabilities of models beyond narrow task performance. Here, we introduce a psychometric framework to assess the cognitive profiles of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Isaac Galatzer-Levy , Daniel McDuff , Xin Liu , Jed McGiffin

The rise of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) marks an existential rupture in economic and political order, dissolving the historic boundaries between labor and capital. Unlike past technological advancements, AGI is both a worker and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-19 Pascal Stiefenhofer

Current and foreseeable GenAI models are not capable of achieving artificial general intelligence because they are burdened with anthropogenic debt. They depend heavily on human input to provide well-structured problems, architecture, and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-13 Herbert Roitblat

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence has positioned data governance as a critical concern for responsible AI development. While frameworks exist for conventional AI systems, the potential emergence of Artificial General…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Masayuki Hatta

An artificial superintelligence (ASI) is artificial intelligence that is significantly more intelligent than humans in all respects. While ASI does not currently exist, some scholars propose that it could be created sometime in the future,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-27 Anthony M. Barrett , Seth D. Baum

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), possessing the capacity to comprehend, learn, and execute tasks with human cognitive abilities, engenders significant anticipation and intrigue across scientific, commercial, and societal arenas. This…

Invention of artificial general intelligence is predicted to cause a shift in the trajectory of human civilization. In order to reap the benefits and avoid pitfalls of such powerful technology it is important to be able to control it.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Roman V. Yampolskiy