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Transition probability density functions (TPDFs) are fundamental to computational finance, including option pricing and hedging. Advancing recent work in deep learning, we develop novel neural TPDF generators through solving backward…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Haozhe Su , M. V. Tretyakov , David P. Newton

We introduce a new approximate multiresolution analysis (MRA) using a single Gaussian as the scaling function, which we call Gaussian MRA (GMRA). As an initial application, we employ this new tool to accurately and efficiently compute the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-07 Gregory Beylkin , Lucas Monzon , Ignas Satkauskas

Density ratio estimation in high dimensions can be reframed as integrating a certain quantity, the time score, over probability paths which interpolate between the two densities. In practice, the time score has to be estimated based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Hanlin Yu , Arto Klami , Aapo Hyvärinen , Anna Korba , Omar Chehab

The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

We report on probability-density-functions (PDF) of the mass density in numerical simulations of highly compressible hydrodynamic flows and the corresponding structure formation of Lagrangian particles advected by the flows. Numerical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Christoph Beetz , Christian Schwarz , Jürgen Dreher , Rainer Grauer

The one-point probability distribution function (PDF) of the matter density field in the universe is a fundamental property that plays an essential role in cosmology for estimates such as gravitational weak lensing, non-linear clustering,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-10 Anatoly Klypin , Francisco Prada , Juan Betancort-Rijo , Franco D. Albareti

The analytical formalism to obtain the probability distribution functions (PDFs) of spherically-averaged cosmic densities and velocity divergences in the mildly non-linear regime is presented. A large-deviation principle is applied to those…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-03 Cora Uhlemann , Sandrine Codis , Oliver Hahn , Christophe Pichon , Francis Bernardeau

Lagrangian stochastic methods are widely used to model turbulent flows. Scarce consideration has, however, been devoted to the treatment of the near-wall region and to the formulation of a proper wall-boundary condition. With respect to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-07 Guilhem Balvet , Jean-Pierre Minier , Yelva Roustan , Martin Ferrand

Bayesian estimation strategies represent the most fundamental formulation of the state estimation problem available, and apply readily to nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian uncertainties. The present paper introduces a novel method for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-22 T R Bewley , A S Sharma

The volume of academic paper submissions and publications is growing at an ever increasing rate. While this flood of research promises progress in various fields, the sheer volume of output inherently increases the amount of noise. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Marko Stamenovic , Jeibo Luo

Using a probabilistic neural network and Lagrangian observations from the Global Drifter Program, we model the single particle transition probability density function (pdf) of ocean surface drifters. The transition pdf is represented by a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 Martin T. Brolly

Probability density estimation is a core problem of statistics and signal processing. Moment methods are an important means of density estimation, but they are generally strongly dependent on the choice of feasible functions, which severely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Guangyu Wu , Anders Lindquist

In this report, the explicit probability density functions of the random Euclidean distances associated with regular hexagons are given, when the two endpoints of a link are randomly distributed in the same hexagon, and two adjacent…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Yanyan Zhuang , Jianping Pan

Based on the theory of continuous time random walks (CTRW), we build the models of characterizing the transitions among anomalous diffusions with different diffusion exponents, often observed in natural world. In the CTRW framework, we take…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Trifce Sandev , Weihua Deng , Pengbo Xu

A robust uncertainty estimate in global analyses of Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) is essential at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), especially in view of the high-precision data anticipated by experimentalists in the High-Luminosity…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-14 Mark N. Costantini , Luca Mantani , James M. Moore , Maria Ubiali

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

The one-point probability distribution function (pdf) of the large-scale density field is an important tool to follow the evolution of cosmological structures. In this paper we present a new model for this pdf for all regimes and all…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick Valageas , Dipak Munshi

Histograms are convenient non-parametric density estimators, which continue to be used ubiquitously. Summary quantities estimated from histogram-based probability density models depend on the choice of the number of bins. We introduce a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-17 Kevin H. Knuth

There has been overwhelming evidence that coherent structures play a critical role in determining the overall transport in a variety of systems. We compute the probability distribution function (PDF) tails of momentum flux and heat flux in…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Johan Anderson , Eun-jin Kim

The paper introduces an approach to telematics devices data application in automotive insurance. We conduct a comparative analysis of different types of devices that collect information on vehicle utilization and driving style of its…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-07 Konstantin Korishchenko , Ivan Stankevich , Nikolay Pilnik , Daria Petrova