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Proper losses such as cross-entropy incentivize classifiers to produce class probabilities that are well-calibrated on the training data. Due to the generalization gap, these classifiers tend to become overconfident on the test data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Viacheslav Komisarenko , Meelis Kull

Class probabilities predicted by most multiclass classifiers are uncalibrated, often tending towards over-confidence. With neural networks, calibration can be improved by temperature scaling, a method to learn a single corrective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Meelis Kull , Miquel Perello-Nieto , Markus Kängsepp , Telmo Silva Filho , Hao Song , Peter Flach

Neural network calibration is an essential task in deep learning to ensure consistency between the confidence of model prediction and the true correctness likelihood. In this paper, we propose a new post-processing calibration method called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Yung-Chen Tang , Pin-Yu Chen , Tsung-Yi Ho

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Temperature scaling is a simple method that allows to control the uncertainty of probabilistic models. It is mostly used in two contexts: improving the calibration of classifiers and tuning the stochasticity of large language models (LLMs).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Bruno Loureiro

Mixup~\cite{zhang2017mixup} is a recently proposed method for training deep neural networks where additional samples are generated during training by convexly combining random pairs of images and their associated labels. While simple to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-08 Sunil Thulasidasan , Gopinath Chennupati , Jeff Bilmes , Tanmoy Bhattacharya , Sarah Michalak

Although overparameterized models have shown their success on many machine learning tasks, the accuracy could drop on the testing distribution that is different from the training one. This accuracy drop still limits applying machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yiping Lu , Wenlong Ji , Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying

Deep learning-based Natural Language Processing (NLP) models are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, where small perturbations can cause a model to misclassify. Adversarial Training (AT) is often used to increase model robustness. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Vyas Raina , Samson Tan , Volkan Cevher , Aditya Rawal , Sheng Zha , George Karypis

Confidence calibration -- the problem of predicting probability estimates representative of the true correctness likelihood -- is important for classification models in many applications. We discover that modern neural networks, unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-04 Chuan Guo , Geoff Pleiss , Yu Sun , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Deep Learning methods are known to suffer from calibration issues: they typically produce over-confident estimates. These problems are exacerbated in the low data regime. Although the calibration of probabilistic models is well studied,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Rahul Rahaman , Alexandre H. Thiery

In this paper, we study the post-hoc calibration of modern neural networks, a problem that has drawn a lot of attention in recent years. Many calibration methods of varying complexity have been proposed for the task, but there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Sergio A. Balanya , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Ramos

Among all data augmentation techniques proposed so far, linear interpolation of training samples, also called Mixup, has found to be effective for a large panel of applications. Along with improved predictive performance, Mixup is also a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Quentin Bouniot , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Neural networks trained on distilled data often produce over-confident output and require correction by calibration methods. Existing calibration methods such as temperature scaling and mixup work well for networks trained on original…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Dongyao Zhu , Bowen Lei , Jie Zhang , Yanbo Fang , Ruqi Zhang , Yiqun Xie , Dongkuan Xu

The softmax function is a fundamental component in deep learning. This study delves into the often-overlooked parameter within the softmax function, known as "temperature," providing novel insights into the practical and theoretical aspects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Hao Xuan , Bokai Yang , Xingyu Li

Recently, there has been a growing interest in applying machine learning methods to problems in engineering mechanics. In particular, there has been significant interest in applying deep learning techniques to predicting the mechanical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Saeed Mohammadzadeh , Peerasait Prachaseree , Emma Lejeune

The prediction reliability of neural networks is important in many applications. Specifically, in safety-critical domains, such as cancer prediction or autonomous driving, a reliable confidence of model's prediction is critical for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Byeongmoon Ji , Hyemin Jung , Jihyeun Yoon , Kyungyul Kim , Younghak Shin

Large deep neural networks are powerful, but exhibit undesirable behaviors such as memorization and sensitivity to adversarial examples. In this work, we propose mixup, a simple learning principle to alleviate these issues. In essence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Hongyi Zhang , Moustapha Cisse , Yann N. Dauphin , David Lopez-Paz

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has demonstrated high performance in image classification tasks by effectively utilizing both labeled and unlabeled data. However, existing SSL methods often suffer from poor calibration, with models yielding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Mehrab Mustafy Rahman , Jayanth Mohan , Tiberiu Sosea , Cornelia Caragea

Mixup, which creates synthetic training instances by linearly interpolating random sample pairs, is a simple and yet effective regularization technique to boost the performance of deep models trained with SGD. In this work, we report a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Zixuan Liu , Ziqiao Wang , Hongyu Guo , Yongyi Mao

In many machine learning applications, it is important for the model to provide confidence scores that accurately capture its prediction uncertainty. Although modern learning methods have achieved great success in predictive accuracy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Linjun Zhang , Zhun Deng , Kenji Kawaguchi , James Zou
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