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Virtually any model we use in machine learning to make predictions does not perfectly represent reality. So, most of the learning happens under model misspecification. In this work, we present a novel analysis of the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Andres R. Masegosa

In the PAC-Bayesian literature, the C-Bound refers to an insightful relation between the risk of a majority vote classifier (under the zero-one loss) and the first two moments of its margin (i.e., the expected margin and the voters'…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-01 Paul Viallard , Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant

This paper provides a theoretical analysis of domain adaptation based on the PAC-Bayesian theory. We propose an improvement of the previous domain adaptation bound obtained by Germain et al. in two ways. We first give another generalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-14 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Francois Laviolette , Emilie Morvant

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

Existing research has either adapted the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayesian framework for federated learning (FL) or used information-theoretic PAC-Bayesian bounds while introducing their theorems, but few considering the non-IID…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Zihao Zhao , Yang Liu , Wenbo Ding , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Bayesian optimization has recently emerged as a popular and efficient tool for global optimization and hyperparameter tuning. Currently, the established Bayesian optimization practice requires a user-defined bounding box which is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-18 Bobak Shahriari , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Nando de Freitas

In this paper we develop a Bayesian optimization based hyperparameter tuning framework inspired by statistical learning theory for classifiers. We utilize two key facts from PAC learning theory; the generalization bound will be higher for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Tinu Theckel Joy , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

Both PAC-Bayesian and Sample Compress learning frameworks are instrumental for deriving tight (non-vacuous) generalization bounds for neural networks. We leverage these results in a meta-learning scheme, relying on a hypernetwork that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Benjamin Leblanc , Mathieu Bazinet , Nathaniel D'Amours , Alexandre Drouin , Pascal Germain

This paper explores the generalization characteristics of iterative learning algorithms with bounded updates for non-convex loss functions, employing information-theoretic techniques. Our key contribution is a novel bound for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Jingwen Fu , Nanning Zheng

Neural Network based controllers hold enormous potential to learn complex, high-dimensional functions. However, they are prone to overfitting and unwarranted extrapolations. PAC Bayes is a generalized framework which is more resistant to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-18 Sanjay Thakur , Herke Van Hoof , Gunshi Gupta , David Meger

Deep neural network (NN) with millions or billions of parameters can perform really well on unseen data, after being trained from a finite training set. Various prior theories have been developed to explain such excellent ability of NNs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Khoat Than , Dat Phan

Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) integrates mechanistic knowledge, typically in the form of partial differential equations (PDE), into data-driven models. Despite strong empirical performance, its statistical generalisation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Thien V. Nguyen , Amaury Habrard , Benjamin Guedj

The PAC-Bayesian framework has significantly advanced the understanding of statistical learning, particularly for majority voting methods. Despite its successes, its application to multi-view learning -- a setting with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Mehdi Hennequin , Abdelkrim Zitouni , Khalid Benabdeslem , Haytham Elghazel , Yacine Gaci

The predict-then-optimize paradigm bridges online learning and contextual optimization in dynamic environments. Previous works have investigated the sequential updating of predictors using feedback from downstream decisions to minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Zhuojun Xie , Adam Abdin , Yiping Fang

In this paper we derive a Probably Approxilmately Correct(PAC)-Bayesian error bound for linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic dynamical systems with inputs. Such bounds are widespread in machine learning, and they are useful for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafael Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

Statistical performance bounds for reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms can be critical for high-stakes applications like healthcare. This paper introduces a new framework for theoretically measuring the performance of such algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Christoph Dann , Tor Lattimore , Emma Brunskill

We establish empirical risk minimization principles for active learning by deriving a family of upper bounds on the generalization error. Aligning with empirical observations, the bounds suggest that superior query algorithms can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-17 Vincent Menden , Yahya Saleh , Armin Iske

Deep nets generalize well despite having more parameters than the number of training samples. Recent works try to give an explanation using PAC-Bayes and Margin-based analyses, but do not as yet result in sample complexity bounds better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Sanjeev Arora , Rong Ge , Behnam Neyshabur , Yi Zhang

Modern machine learning usually involves predictors in the overparameterised setting (number of trained parameters greater than dataset size), and their training yields not only good performance on training data, but also good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Maxime Haddouche , Paul Viallard , Umut Simsekli , Benjamin Guedj

Time series forecasting has become a critical task due to its high practicality in real-world applications such as traffic, energy consumption, economics and finance, and disease analysis. Recent deep-learning-based approaches have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Youngin Cho , Daejin Kim , Dongmin Kim , Mohammad Azam Khan , Jaegul Choo