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Information cascade popularity prediction is critical for many applications, including but not limited to identifying fake news and accurate recommendations. Traditional feature-based methods heavily rely on handcrafted features, which are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Zhizhen Zhang , Xiaohui Xie , Yishuo Zhang , Lanshan Zhang , Yong Jiang

The adaptive processing of structured data is a long-standing research topic in machine learning that investigates how to automatically learn a mapping from a structured input to outputs of various nature. Recently, there has been an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Federico Errica

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Graphs are fundamental data structures which concisely capture the relational structure in many important real-world domains, such as knowledge graphs, physical and social interactions, language, and chemistry. Here we introduce a powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Yujia Li , Oriol Vinyals , Chris Dyer , Razvan Pascanu , Peter Battaglia

In this paper we present a deep learning method to predict the temporal evolution of dissipative dynamic systems. We propose using both geometric and thermodynamic inductive biases to improve accuracy and generalization of the resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Quercus Hernández , Alberto Badías , Francisco Chinesta , Elías Cueto

We propose a hierarchical correlation clustering method that extends the well-known correlation clustering to produce hierarchical clusters applicable to both positive and negative pairwise dissimilarities. Then, in the following, we study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Morteza Haghir Chehreghani , Mostafa Haghir Chehreghani

Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

In recent years, a growing number of method and application works have adapted and applied the causal-graphical-model framework to time series data. Many of these works employ time-resolved causal graphs that extend infinitely into the past…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Sofia Faltenbacher , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

Time series analysis has gained significant attention due to its critical applications in diverse fields such as healthcare, finance, and sensor networks. The complexity and non-stationarity of time series make it challenging to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Guancen Lin , Cong Shen , Aijing Lin

This paper leverages the framework of algorithms-with-predictions to design data structures for two fundamental dynamic graph problems: incremental topological ordering and cycle detection. In these problems, the input is a directed graph…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Samuel McCauley , Benjamin Moseley , Aidin Niaparast , Shikha Singh

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Learning positional information of nodes in a graph is important for link prediction tasks. We propose a representation of positional information using representative nodes called landmarks. A small number of nodes with high degree…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Minsang Kim , Seungjun Baek

In this paper we tackle the problem of point and probabilistic forecasting by describing a blending methodology of machine learning models that belong to gradient boosted trees and neural networks families. These principles were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Ioannis Nasios , Konstantinos Vogklis

Artificial intelligence (AI) has undergone a renaissance recently, making major progress in key domains such as vision, language, control, and decision-making. This has been due, in part, to cheap data and cheap compute resources, which…

Recent advancements in deep learning models for time series forecasting have been significant. These models often leverage fundamental time series properties such as seasonality and non-stationarity, which may suggest an intrinsic link…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Fei Wang , Yujie Li , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yisong Fu , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu , Xueqi Cheng

We introduce a new family of network models, called hierarchical network models, that allow us to represent in an explicit manner the stochastic dependence among the dyads (random ties) of the network. In particular, each member of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-27 Kayvan Sadeghi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Forecasting graph-based, time-dependent data has broad practical applications but presents challenges. Effective models must capture both spatial and temporal dependencies in the data, while also incorporating auxiliary information to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yang Li , Di Wang , José M. F. Moura

Forecasting is critical in areas such as finance, biology, and healthcare. Despite the progress in the field, making accurate forecasts remains challenging because real-world time series contain both global trends, local fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zihao Chen , Alexandre Andre , Wenrui Ma , Ian Knight , Sergey Shuvaev , Eva Dyer

In this paper, we presents a novel hierarchical federated learning architecture specifically designed for smart agricultural production systems and crop yield prediction. Our approach introduces a seasonal subscription mechanism where farms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Anas Abouaomar , Mohammed El hanjri , Abdellatif Kobbane , Anis Laouiti , Khalid Nafil

Predicting missing links between entities in a knowledge graph is a fundamental task to deal with the incompleteness of data on the Web. Knowledge graph embeddings map nodes into a vector space to predict new links, scoring them according…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Cosimo Gregucci , Mojtaba Nayyeri , Daniel Hernández , Steffen Staab