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Related papers: Bounded confidence model on growing populations

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As a population grows, spreading to new environments may favor specialization. In this paper, we introduce and explore a model for specialization at the front of a colony expanding synchronously into new territory. We show through numerical…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-09-14 Lauren H. Li , Mehran Kardar

We consider an extension of model-based clustering to the semi-supervised case, where some of the data are pre-labeled. We provide a derivation of the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) approximation to the Bayes factor in this setting.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-28 Jordan Yoder , Carey E. Priebe

Ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed frequencies is critical in high-stakes domains such as clinical decision support, autonomous driving and financial risk assessment. Existing calibration methods typically apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Tomer Lavi , Bracha Shapira , Nadav Rappoport

Size-constrained clustering (SCC) refers to the dual problem of using observations to determine latent cluster structure while at the same time assigning observations to the unknown clusters subject to an analyst defined constraint on…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-18 Justin D. Silverman , Rachel K. Silverman

We investigate the problem of growing clusters, which is modeled by two dimensional disks and three dimensional droplets. In this model we place a number of seeds on random locations on a lattice with an initial occupation probability, $p$.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-28 N. Tsakiris , M. Maragakis , K. Kosmidis , P. Argyrakis

Natural data is often organized as a hierarchical composition of features. How many samples do generative models need in order to learn the composition rules, so as to produce a combinatorially large number of novel data? What signal in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Alessandro Favero , Antonio Sclocchi , Francesco Cagnetta , Pascal Frossard , Matthieu Wyart

One of the most intriguing dynamics in biological systems is the emergence of clustering, the self-organization into separated agglomerations of individuals. Several theories have been developed to explain clustering in, for instance,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Michael Mäs , Andreas Flache , Dirk Helbing

The formation of opinions in a large population is governed by endogenous (human interactions) and exogenous (media influence) factors. In the analysis of opinion evolution in a large population, decision making rules can be approximated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-08 Anahita Mirtabatabaei , Peng Jia , Francesco Bullo

Interest in how democracies form consensus has increased recently, with statistical physics and economics approaches both suggesting that there is convergence to a fixed point in belief networks, but with fluctuations in opinions when there…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-05-30 Emily Dong , Sarah Marzen

We investigate the competition between barrier slowing down and proliferation induced superdiffusion in a model of population dynamics in a random force field. Numerical results in $d=1$ suggest that a new intermediate diffusion behaviour…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mezard

Posterior distributions for community structure in sparse planted bi-section models are shown to achieve exact (resp. almost-exact) recovery, with sharp bounds for the sparsity regimes where edge probabilities decrease as $O(\log(n)/n)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-03 B. J. K. Kleijn , J. van Waaij

Dirichlet process mixtures are flexible non-parametric models, particularly suited to density estimation and probabilistic clustering. In this work we study the posterior distribution induced by Dirichlet process mixtures as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Giovanni Rebaudo , Giacomo Zanella

Mixed membership models are an extension of finite mixture models, where each observation can partially belong to more than one mixture component. A probabilistic framework for mixed membership models of high-dimensional continuous data is…

People's opinions change with time as they interact with each other. In a bounded-confidence model (BCM) of opinion dynamics, individuals (which are represented by the nodes of a network) have continuous-valued opinions and are influenced…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Grace J. Li , Jiajie Luo , Mason A. Porter

We propose a clustering procedure to group K populations into subgroups with the same dependence structure. The method is adapted to paired population and can be used with panel data. It relies on the differences between orthogonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Yves Ismaël Ngounou Bakam , Denys Pommeret

This paper introduces a model for opinion dynamics, where at each time step, randomly selected agents see their opinions - modeled as scalars in [0,1] - evolve depending on a local interaction function. In the classical Bounded Confidence…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Elisabetta Cornacchia , Neta Singer , Emmanuel Abbe

We propose a model-based clustering algorithm for a general class of functional data for which the components could be curves or images. The random functional data realizations could be measured with error at discrete, and possibly random,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-14 Steven Golovkine , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Valentin Patilea

There has been much recent interest in modelling epidemics on networks, particularly in the presence of substantial clustering. Here, we develop pairwise methods to answer questions that are often addressed using epidemic models, in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-12-10 Thomas House , Matt J Keeling

Measures of wealth and production have been found to scale superlinearly with the population of a city. Therefore, it makes economic sense for humans to congregate together in dense settlements. A recent model of population dynamics showed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 James PL Tan

Boosting techniques from the field of statistical learning have grown to be a popular tool for estimating and selecting predictor effects in various regression models and can roughly be separated in two general approaches, namely gradient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Groll , Elisabeth Waldmann